Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 9811 ELEMENT RD, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

74 comps in the export · 7 plotted in the 6-month window · 5 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 5 closed comps · R² 0.99 · 1σ band $10,021

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
11107 QUASAR 2069872	Closed (Sold) C	1,365	$304,000	$223	-4% −$11,747	sets the line
11104 MOTION 2124561	Closed (Sold) C	1,229	$300,000	$244	+3% +$8,280	sets the line
9989 ELEMENT 2124059	Closed (Sold) C	2,352	$480,000	$204	-2% −$10,122	sets the line
9925 ELEMENT 2132251	Closed (Sold) C	1,974	$429,700	$218	+2% +$6,360	sets the line
9953 ELEMENT 2132386	Closed (Sold) C	2,367	$500,000	$211	+1% +$7,228	sets the line
11114 BINARY 2165008	For Sale (Active) A	1,135	$315,000	$278	+14% +$39,887	plotted only
11110 DIFFUSION 2157978	Under Contract A	2,147	$420,000	$196	-7% −$33,904	plotted only
11112 QUANTUM 2012831	Closed (Sold) C	1,412	$304,720	$216	—	outside the 6-mo window
10065 ELEMENT 2089345	Did Not Sell E	2,367	$498,000	$210	—	outside the 6-mo window
10274 ELEMENT 2112074	Closed (Sold) C	1,638	$399,000	$244	—	outside the 6-mo window
10037 ELEMENT 2118185	Closed (Sold) C	2,367	$500,000	$211	—	outside the 6-mo window
11104 MOTION 2085599	Did Not Sell E	1,229	$329,999	$269	—	outside the 6-mo window
11105 KINETIC 2008743	Closed (Sold) C	2,037	$400,000	$196	—	outside the 6-mo window
10045 ELEMENT 2016531	Closed (Sold) C	2,291	$445,000	$194	—	outside the 6-mo window
10300 ELEMENT 2018851	Closed (Sold) C	1,926	$425,000	$221	—	outside the 6-mo window
10284 ELEMENT 2014883	Closed (Sold) C	1,989	$430,000	$216	—	outside the 6-mo window
10290 ELEMENT 2014885	Closed (Sold) C	2,147	$435,000	$203	—	outside the 6-mo window
11103 QUASAR 2056258	Closed (Sold) C	1,365	$340,000	$249	—	outside the 6-mo window
11109 KINETIC 2008748	Closed (Sold) C	2,038	$420,480	$206	—	outside the 6-mo window
11102 QUANTUM 2007493	Closed (Sold) C	1,137	$330,000	$290	—	outside the 6-mo window
10333 ELEMENT 2043816	Closed (Sold) C	1,887	$404,680	$214	—	outside the 6-mo window
10093 ELEMENT 2052846	Closed (Sold) C	2,300	$499,810	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
10331 ELEMENT 2042533	Closed (Sold) C	1,887	$405,000	$215	—	outside the 6-mo window
11117 KINETIC 2042536	Closed (Sold) C	1,926	$404,500	$210	—	outside the 6-mo window
11117 QUANTUM 2024808	Closed (Sold) C	1,137	$299,000	$263	—	outside the 6-mo window
9901 ELEMENT 2059078	Closed (Sold) C	2,037	$460,000	$226	—	outside the 6-mo window
10081 ELEMENT 2042330	Closed (Sold) C	2,352	$521,800	$222	—	outside the 6-mo window
10286 ELEMENT 2014888	Closed (Sold) C	2,035	$476,888	$234	—	outside the 6-mo window
10061 ELEMENT 2051080	Closed (Sold) C	2,300	$499,890	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
10085 ELEMENT 2042329	Closed (Sold) C	2,352	$500,000	$213	—	outside the 6-mo window
9921 ELEMENT 2072476	Did Not Sell L	1,915	$475,000	$248	—	outside the 6-mo window
11104 QUASAR 2061080	Closed (Sold) C	1,229	$290,000	$236	—	outside the 6-mo window
11107 PANGEA 2026994	Closed (Sold) C	1,412	$340,000	$241	—	outside the 6-mo window
10264 ELEMENT 2051752	Closed (Sold) C	1,926	$426,000	$221	—	outside the 6-mo window
10258 ELEMENT 2061053	Closed (Sold) C	1,989	$435,000	$219	—	outside the 6-mo window
11106 KINETIC 2000372	Closed (Sold) C	1,137	$299,000	$263	—	outside the 6-mo window
10252 ELEMENT 2061049	Closed (Sold) C	2,145	$439,000	$205	—	outside the 6-mo window
10057 ELEMENT 2051078	Closed (Sold) C	2,331	$485,000	$208	—	outside the 6-mo window
10089 ELEMENT 2050988	Closed (Sold) C	2,331	$498,622	$214	—	outside the 6-mo window
11145 FOSSIL 2064679	Closed (Sold) C	2,036	$427,000	$210	—	outside the 6-mo window
11106 QUANTUM 2007502	Closed (Sold) C	1,137	$300,000	$264	—	outside the 6-mo window
11106 PANGEA 2032048	Closed (Sold) C	1,412	$315,000	$223	—	outside the 6-mo window
11115 QUANTUM 2025940	Closed (Sold) C	1,267	$299,000	$236	—	outside the 6-mo window
11115 PANGEA 2068996	Closed (Sold) C	1,267	$299,000	$236	—	outside the 6-mo window
11114 MOTION 2068763	Closed (Sold) C	1,135	$295,000	$260	—	outside the 6-mo window
9921 ELEMENT 2095790	Did Not Sell E	2,132	$450,000	$211	—	outside the 6-mo window
10335 ELEMENT 2042524	Closed (Sold) C	1,926	$435,000	$226	—	outside the 6-mo window
11117 DIFFUSION 2082105	Closed (Sold) C	1,170	$320,000	$274	—	outside the 6-mo window
11113 QUANTUM 2025962	Closed (Sold) C	1,137	$285,000	$251	—	outside the 6-mo window
11103 KINETIC 2008753	Closed (Sold) C	1,989	$399,924	$201	—	outside the 6-mo window
10288 ELEMENT 2014893	Closed (Sold) C	2,037	$422,000	$207	—	outside the 6-mo window
10268 ELEMENT 2052847	Closed (Sold) C	1,926	$427,000	$222	—	outside the 6-mo window
10041 ELEMENT 2016528	Closed (Sold) C	2,169	$492,834	$227	—	outside the 6-mo window
11116 QUANTUM 2012834	Closed (Sold) C	1,412	$371,000	$263	—	outside the 6-mo window
11107 KINETIC 2008746	Closed (Sold) C	2,037	$451,820	$222	—	outside the 6-mo window
10017 ELEMENT 1245120	Closed (Sold) C	2,367	$479,960	$203	—	outside the 6-mo window
10013 ELEMENT 1260362	Closed (Sold) C	2,154	$454,790	$211	—	outside the 6-mo window
11114 QUANTUM 2012838	Closed (Sold) C	1,230	$352,000	$286	—	outside the 6-mo window
10037 ELEMENT 1251091	Closed (Sold) C	2,367	$469,999	$199	—	outside the 6-mo window
10065 ELEMENT 2024165	Closed (Sold) C	2,367	$544,860	$230	—	outside the 6-mo window
11103 QUASAR 2036077	Did Not Sell E	1,412	$362,000	$256	—	outside the 6-mo window
10296 ELEMENT 2017737	Closed (Sold) C	1,926	$467,350	$243	—	outside the 6-mo window
10029 ELEMENT 1244192	Closed (Sold) C	2,331	$469,999	$202	—	outside the 6-mo window
9830 ELEMENT 1241345	Closed (Sold) C	2,147	$419,000	$195	—	outside the 6-mo window
11103 PANGEA 2026997	Closed (Sold) C	1,412	$352,390	$250	—	outside the 6-mo window
11105 PANGEA 2027003	Closed (Sold) C	1,230	$340,330	$277	—	outside the 6-mo window
10298 ELEMENT 2017724	Closed (Sold) C	1,889	$450,620	$239	—	outside the 6-mo window
10276 ELEMENT 2027242	Closed (Sold) C	1,699	$399,836	$235	—	outside the 6-mo window
10278 ELEMENT 2027236	Closed (Sold) C	1,692	$396,450	$234	—	outside the 6-mo window
11104 QUASAR 2029409	Did Not Sell E	1,229	$335,000	$273	—	outside the 6-mo window
11111 KINETIC 2008739	Closed (Sold) C	2,147	$400,000	$186	—	outside the 6-mo window
10009 ELEMENT 1260356	Closed (Sold) C	2,306	$439,000	$190	—	outside the 6-mo window
10274 ELEMENT 2027235	Closed (Sold) C	1,692	$405,000	$239	—	outside the 6-mo window
11104 QUANTUM 2007506	Closed (Sold) C	1,267	$299,730	$237	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

11107 QUASAR
2069872

Closed (Sold)
C

1,365

$304,000

$223

-4%
−$11,747

sets the line

11104 MOTION
2124561

Closed (Sold)
C

1,229

$300,000

$244

+3%
+$8,280

sets the line

9989 ELEMENT
2124059

Closed (Sold)
C

2,352

$480,000

$204

-2%
−$10,122

sets the line

9925 ELEMENT
2132251

Closed (Sold)
C

1,974

$429,700

$218

+2%
+$6,360

sets the line

9953 ELEMENT
2132386

Closed (Sold)
C

2,367

$500,000

$211

+1%
+$7,228

sets the line

11114 BINARY
2165008

For Sale (Active)
A

1,135

$315,000

$278

+14%
+$39,887

plotted only

11110 DIFFUSION
2157978

Under Contract
A

2,147

$420,000

$196

-7%
−$33,904

plotted only

11112 QUANTUM
2012831

Closed (Sold)
C

1,412

$304,720

$216

—

outside the 6-mo window

10065 ELEMENT
2089345

Did Not Sell
E

2,367

$498,000

$210

—

outside the 6-mo window

10274 ELEMENT
2112074

Closed (Sold)
C

1,638

$399,000

$244

—

outside the 6-mo window

10037 ELEMENT
2118185

Closed (Sold)
C

2,367

$500,000

$211

—

outside the 6-mo window

11104 MOTION
2085599

Did Not Sell
E

1,229

$329,999

$269

—

outside the 6-mo window

11105 KINETIC
2008743

Closed (Sold)
C

2,037

$400,000

$196

—

outside the 6-mo window

10045 ELEMENT
2016531

Closed (Sold)
C

2,291

$445,000

$194

—

outside the 6-mo window

10300 ELEMENT
2018851

Closed (Sold)
C

1,926

$425,000

$221

—

outside the 6-mo window

10284 ELEMENT
2014883

Closed (Sold)
C

1,989

$430,000

$216

—

outside the 6-mo window

10290 ELEMENT
2014885

Closed (Sold)
C

2,147

$435,000

$203

—

outside the 6-mo window

11103 QUASAR
2056258

Closed (Sold)
C

1,365

$340,000

$249

—

outside the 6-mo window

11109 KINETIC
2008748

Closed (Sold)
C

2,038

$420,480

$206

—

outside the 6-mo window

11102 QUANTUM
2007493

Closed (Sold)
C

1,137

$330,000

$290

—

outside the 6-mo window

10333 ELEMENT
2043816

Closed (Sold)
C

1,887

$404,680

$214

—

outside the 6-mo window

10093 ELEMENT
2052846

Closed (Sold)
C

2,300

$499,810

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

10331 ELEMENT
2042533

Closed (Sold)
C

1,887

$405,000

$215

—

outside the 6-mo window

11117 KINETIC
2042536

Closed (Sold)
C

1,926

$404,500

$210

—

outside the 6-mo window

11117 QUANTUM
2024808

Closed (Sold)
C

1,137

$299,000

$263

—

outside the 6-mo window

9901 ELEMENT
2059078

Closed (Sold)
C

2,037

$460,000

$226

—

outside the 6-mo window

10081 ELEMENT
2042330

Closed (Sold)
C

2,352

$521,800

$222

—

outside the 6-mo window

10286 ELEMENT
2014888

Closed (Sold)
C

2,035

$476,888

$234

—

outside the 6-mo window

10061 ELEMENT
2051080

Closed (Sold)
C

2,300

$499,890

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

10085 ELEMENT
2042329

Closed (Sold)
C

2,352

$500,000

$213

—

outside the 6-mo window

9921 ELEMENT
2072476

Did Not Sell
L

1,915

$475,000

$248

—

outside the 6-mo window

11104 QUASAR
2061080

Closed (Sold)
C

1,229

$290,000

$236

—

outside the 6-mo window

11107 PANGEA
2026994

Closed (Sold)
C

1,412

$340,000

$241

—

outside the 6-mo window

10264 ELEMENT
2051752

Closed (Sold)
C

1,926

$426,000

$221

—

outside the 6-mo window

10258 ELEMENT
2061053

Closed (Sold)
C

1,989

$435,000

$219

—

outside the 6-mo window

11106 KINETIC
2000372

Closed (Sold)
C

1,137

$299,000

$263

—

outside the 6-mo window

10252 ELEMENT
2061049

Closed (Sold)
C

2,145

$439,000

$205

—

outside the 6-mo window

10057 ELEMENT
2051078

Closed (Sold)
C

2,331

$485,000

$208

—

outside the 6-mo window

10089 ELEMENT
2050988

Closed (Sold)
C

2,331

$498,622

$214

—

outside the 6-mo window

11145 FOSSIL
2064679

Closed (Sold)
C

2,036

$427,000

$210

—

outside the 6-mo window

11106 QUANTUM
2007502

Closed (Sold)
C

1,137

$300,000

$264

—

outside the 6-mo window

11106 PANGEA
2032048

Closed (Sold)
C

1,412

$315,000

$223

—

outside the 6-mo window

11115 QUANTUM
2025940

Closed (Sold)
C

1,267

$299,000

$236

—

outside the 6-mo window

11115 PANGEA
2068996

Closed (Sold)
C

1,267

$299,000

$236

—

outside the 6-mo window

11114 MOTION
2068763

Closed (Sold)
C

1,135

$295,000

$260

—

outside the 6-mo window

9921 ELEMENT
2095790

Did Not Sell
E

2,132

$450,000

$211

—

outside the 6-mo window

10335 ELEMENT
2042524

Closed (Sold)
C

1,926

$435,000

$226

—

outside the 6-mo window

11117 DIFFUSION
2082105

Closed (Sold)
C

1,170

$320,000

$274

—

outside the 6-mo window

11113 QUANTUM
2025962

Closed (Sold)
C

1,137

$285,000

$251

—

outside the 6-mo window

11103 KINETIC
2008753

Closed (Sold)
C

1,989

$399,924

$201

—

outside the 6-mo window

10288 ELEMENT
2014893

Closed (Sold)
C

2,037

$422,000

$207

—

outside the 6-mo window

10268 ELEMENT
2052847

Closed (Sold)
C

1,926

$427,000

$222

—

outside the 6-mo window

10041 ELEMENT
2016528

Closed (Sold)
C

2,169

$492,834

$227

—

outside the 6-mo window

11116 QUANTUM
2012834

Closed (Sold)
C

1,412

$371,000

$263

—

outside the 6-mo window

11107 KINETIC
2008746

Closed (Sold)
C

2,037

$451,820

$222

—

outside the 6-mo window

10017 ELEMENT
1245120

Closed (Sold)
C

2,367

$479,960

$203

—

outside the 6-mo window

10013 ELEMENT
1260362

Closed (Sold)
C

2,154

$454,790

$211

—

outside the 6-mo window

11114 QUANTUM
2012838

Closed (Sold)
C

1,230

$352,000

$286

—

outside the 6-mo window

10037 ELEMENT
1251091

Closed (Sold)
C

2,367

$469,999

$199

—

outside the 6-mo window

10065 ELEMENT
2024165

Closed (Sold)
C

2,367

$544,860

$230

—

outside the 6-mo window

11103 QUASAR
2036077

Did Not Sell
E

1,412

$362,000

$256

—

outside the 6-mo window

10296 ELEMENT
2017737

Closed (Sold)
C

1,926

$467,350

$243

—

outside the 6-mo window

10029 ELEMENT
1244192

Closed (Sold)
C

2,331

$469,999

$202

—

outside the 6-mo window

9830 ELEMENT
1241345

Closed (Sold)
C

2,147

$419,000

$195

—

outside the 6-mo window

11103 PANGEA
2026997

Closed (Sold)
C

1,412

$352,390

$250

—

outside the 6-mo window

11105 PANGEA
2027003

Closed (Sold)
C

1,230

$340,330

$277

—

outside the 6-mo window

10298 ELEMENT
2017724

Closed (Sold)
C

1,889

$450,620

$239

—

outside the 6-mo window

10276 ELEMENT
2027242

Closed (Sold)
C

1,699

$399,836

$235

—

outside the 6-mo window

10278 ELEMENT
2027236

Closed (Sold)
C

1,692

$396,450

$234

—

outside the 6-mo window

11104 QUASAR
2029409

Did Not Sell
E

1,229

$335,000

$273

—

outside the 6-mo window

11111 KINETIC
2008739

Closed (Sold)
C

2,147

$400,000

$186

—

outside the 6-mo window

10009 ELEMENT
1260356

Closed (Sold)
C

2,306

$439,000

$190

—

outside the 6-mo window

10274 ELEMENT
2027235

Closed (Sold)
C

1,692

$405,000

$239

—

outside the 6-mo window

11104 QUANTUM
2007506

Closed (Sold)
C

1,267

$299,730

$237

—

outside the 6-mo window