Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close.  |  One-off run  ·  Lead queue

Choose comps — 2545 SORGHUM AVE, MIDDLEBURG FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.
An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.
79 comps in the export · 22 plotted in the 6-month window · 8 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.
Fair Market line right now — built on 8 closed comps · R² 0.71 · 1σ band $42,387
Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.
Pricing Scattergram
KeepAddressStatussqftPrice$/sq ftvs fair line
4835 TIMOTHY ⊘ no garage
2142192
Closed (Sold)
C
1,500$142,000$95-30%
−$59,921
sets the line
2510 PRIMROSE
2131026
Closed (Sold)
C
1,456$250,000$172+27%
+$53,771
sets the line
2549 SNAPDRAGON ⊘ no garage
2148333
Closed (Sold)
C
1,512$255,000$169+25%
+$51,527
sets the line
2364 DAISY ⊘ no garage
2134254
Closed (Sold)
C
1,568$170,000$108-19%
−$40,718
sets the line
4948 ALFALFA ⊘ no garage
2131254
Closed (Sold)
C
700$85,000$121-14%
−$13,424
sets the line
4938 BASIL ⊘ no garage
2131566
Closed (Sold)
C
1,800$267,900$149+11%
+$27,168
sets the line
2489 COSMOS ⊘ no garage
2144332
Closed (Sold)
C
2,280$275,000$121-9%
−$27,831
sets the line
4653 CALENDULA ⊘ no garage
2150631
Closed (Sold)
C
2,278$312,000$137+3%
+$9,428
sets the line
4909 BAMBOO ⊘ no garage
2162242
Under Contract
A
1,056$234,990$223+63%
+$90,510
plotted only
4815 ACACIA ⊘ no garage
2147871
Did Not Sell
E
784$175,000$223+60%
+$65,709
plotted only
4589 BELLADONNA ⊘ no garage
2160491
Did Not Sell
W
1,152$249,000$216+59%
+$92,100
plotted only
4910 BAMBOO ⊘ no garage
2162525
For Sale (Active)
A
1,911$114,999$60-55%
−$140,094
plotted only
2545 SORGHUM ⊘ no garage
2156823
For Sale (Active)
A
1,152$242,500$211+55%
+$85,600
plotted only
2517 ANGELICA ⊘ no garage
2161379
For Sale (Active)
A
1,248$95,000$76-44%
−$74,319
plotted only
4835 TIMOTHY ⊘ no garage
2161383
For Sale (Active)
A
1,568$285,000$182+35%
+$74,282
plotted only
4766 ACACIA ⊘ no garage
2153012
Did Not Sell
L
1,280$230,000$180+33%
+$56,541
plotted only
2763 PRIMROSE ⊘ no garage
2130876
Did Not Sell
L
1,680$290,000$173+29%
+$64,792
plotted only
2535 ZUNNIA ⊘ no garage
2118813
Did Not Sell
E
1,768$289,900$164+23%
+$53,308
plotted only
4795 DANDELION ⊘ no garage
2163199
For Sale (Active)
A
1,296$199,990$154+14%
+$24,461
plotted only
2562 HIBISCUS ⊘ no garage
2113011
Did Not Sell
E
1,620$240,000$148+10%
+$22,554
plotted only
4834 FIREWEED ⊘ no garage
2147832
For Sale (Active)
A
1,782$259,900$146+9%
+$21,496
plotted only
4653 CALENDULA ⊘ no garage
2139704
Did Not Sell
E
2,278$315,000$138+4%
+$12,428
plotted only
4799 WHEAT pool
2095640
Closed (Sold)
C
1,510$275,000$182—outside the 6-mo window
4784 CALENDULA ⊘ no garage
2095553
Closed (Sold)
C
2,187$315,000$144—outside the 6-mo window
4766 ACACIA ⊘ no garage
2107564
Closed (Sold)
C
1,280$165,000$129—outside the 6-mo window
2580 ZUNNIA ⊘ no garage
2086812
Closed (Sold)
C
2,000$230,000$115—outside the 6-mo window
2653 MYRTLE ⊘ no garage
2106023
Closed (Sold)
C
1,860$165,000$89—outside the 6-mo window
4744 BELLADONNA ⊘ no garage
2103170
Closed (Sold)
C
1,216$294,000$242—outside the 6-mo window
4821 DANDELION ⊘ no garage
2111543
Closed (Sold)
C
2,052$303,000$148—outside the 6-mo window
2469 OLEANDER ⊘ no garage
2106638
Closed (Sold)
C
2,198$270,000$123—outside the 6-mo window
4794 DANDELION ⊘ no garage
2095416
Closed (Sold)
C
1,728$249,900$145—outside the 6-mo window
2501 COSMOS ⊘ no garage
2069378
Closed (Sold)
C
1,560$250,000$160—outside the 6-mo window
4850 CALENDULA ⊘ no garage
1249667
Did Not Sell
E
1,700$150,000$88—outside the 6-mo window
4826 TIMOTHY ⊘ no garage
2062991
Closed (Sold)
C
2,356$289,000$123—outside the 6-mo window
4598 CALENDULA ⊘ no garage
2066006
Closed (Sold)
C
1,456$230,000$158—outside the 6-mo window
4806 CATTAIL ⊘ no garage
2059484
Did Not Sell
E
1,984$274,900$139—outside the 6-mo window
4954 MARGUERITE ⊘ no garage
2076477
Closed (Sold)
C
1,216$184,000$151—outside the 6-mo window
4809 ACACIA ⊘ no garage
2087865
Closed (Sold)
C
1,728$275,000$159—outside the 6-mo window
4621 ALLIGATOR pool ⊘ no garage
2092164
Closed (Sold)
C
1,440$245,000$170—outside the 6-mo window
2773 INDIGO ⊘ no garage
2059972
Closed (Sold)
C
1,310$225,000$172—outside the 6-mo window
4821 DANDELION ⊘ no garage
2020100
Closed (Sold)
C
2,052$152,100$74—outside the 6-mo window
2562 HIBISCUS ⊘ no garage
2072334
Did Not Sell
L
1,620$250,000$154—outside the 6-mo window
4990 CATTAIL ⊘ no garage
2096149
Closed (Sold)
C
1,344$126,250$94—outside the 6-mo window
4785 CATTAIL ⊘ no garage
2060090
Closed (Sold)
C
1,813$260,000$143—outside the 6-mo window
4794 DANDELION ⊘ no garage
2059536
Did Not Sell
E
1,728$264,900$153—outside the 6-mo window
2742 PRIMROSE pool
2062753
Closed (Sold)
C
1,860$335,000$180—outside the 6-mo window
2500 INDIGO ⊘ no garage
2060170
Closed (Sold)
C
1,288$73,000$57—outside the 6-mo window
4526 MAGNOLIA
2062705
Closed (Sold)
C
1,152$92,550$80—outside the 6-mo window
4811 PEPPERGRASS ⊘ no garage
2028040
Did Not Sell
E
2,056$286,900$140—outside the 6-mo window
2773 INDIGO ⊘ no garage
2045414
Did Not Sell
L
1,440$159,900$111—outside the 6-mo window
4811 PEPPERGRASS ⊘ no garage
2050094
Closed (Sold)
C
2,104$269,999$128—outside the 6-mo window
2500 INDIGO ⊘ no garage
2030714
Did Not Sell
E
1,288$79,000$61—outside the 6-mo window
2495 SUNFLOWER ⊘ no garage
2052745
Closed (Sold)
C
1,344$208,000$155—outside the 6-mo window
4806 CATTAIL ⊘ no garage
2043746
Did Not Sell
E
1,984$274,900$139—outside the 6-mo window
4794 DANDELION ⊘ no garage
2051657
Did Not Sell
E
1,728$289,900$168—outside the 6-mo window
4806 CATTAIL ⊘ no garage
2095603
Closed (Sold)
C
1,984$264,000$133—outside the 6-mo window
2558 ZUNNIA ⊘ no garage
2096640
Closed (Sold)
C
896$138,500$155—outside the 6-mo window
4915 BAMBOO ⊘ no garage
2099629
Did Not Sell
E
1,152$179,500$156—outside the 6-mo window
2271 REED ⊘ no garage
2104068
Closed (Sold)
C
1,456$238,000$163—outside the 6-mo window
4947 MARGUERITE ⊘ no garage
2103862
Closed (Sold)
C
2,052$293,500$143—outside the 6-mo window
4921 ALFALFA
2123818
Closed (Sold)
C
1,815$310,000$171—outside the 6-mo window
4526 MAGNOLIA ⊘ no garage
2096950
Closed (Sold)
C
1,152$202,000$175—outside the 6-mo window
4629 ROSEMARY ⊘ no garage
2054801
Did Not Sell
L
980$188,000$192—outside the 6-mo window
2565 HIBISCUS
2048645
Closed (Sold)
C
1,352$160,000$118—outside the 6-mo window
4941 MARGUERITE ⊘ no garage
2070567
Closed (Sold)
C
1,250$175,000$140—outside the 6-mo window
2562 HIBISCUS ⊘ no garage
2037276
Did Not Sell
E
1,620$270,000$167—outside the 6-mo window
2359 INDIGO ⊘ no garage
2071400
Closed (Sold)
C
1,216$180,000$148—outside the 6-mo window
4629 ROSEMARY ⊘ no garage
2068331
Closed (Sold)
C
980$140,000$143—outside the 6-mo window
2312 COSMOS ⊘ no garage
2070557
Closed (Sold)
C
1,152$148,900$129—outside the 6-mo window
4662 BELLADONNA ⊘ no garage
2082816
Closed (Sold)
C
2,052$235,000$115—outside the 6-mo window
2518 ZUNNIA ⊘ no garage
2089477
Closed (Sold)
C
1,280$165,000$129—outside the 6-mo window
2529 LARKSPUR
2035515
Closed (Sold)
C
2,052$325,000$158—outside the 6-mo window
2542 ANGELICA ⊘ no garage
2035832
Closed (Sold)
C
1,344$250,000$186—outside the 6-mo window
2558 ZUNNIA ⊘ no garage
2048661
Closed (Sold)
C
896$120,000$134—outside the 6-mo window
2406 GLADIOLUS ⊘ no garage
2045014
Closed (Sold)
C
2,356$298,000$126—outside the 6-mo window
4941 CALENDULA ⊘ no garage
2051849
Closed (Sold)
C
1,088$159,000$146—outside the 6-mo window
2742 PRIMROSE pool
2044754
Did Not Sell
E
1,860$349,999$188—outside the 6-mo window
4835 TIMOTHY ⊘ no garage
2013445
Did Not Sell
E
1,500$263,000$175—outside the 6-mo window
4655 PLANTAIN ⊘ no garage
2124090
Closed (Sold)
C
920$100,000$109—outside the 6-mo window

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