Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close.  |  One-off run  ·  Lead queue

Choose comps — 4040 GREEN ST, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.
An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.
106 comps in the export · 32 plotted in the 6-month window · 9 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.
Fair Market line right now — built on 9 closed comps · R² 0.54 · 1σ band $41,128
Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.
Pricing Scattergram
KeepAddressStatussqftPrice$/sq ftvs fair line
3502 DELLWOOD
2135091
Closed (Sold)
C
1,131$155,000$137-38%
−$96,524
sets the line
4024 DELLWOOD
2121475
Closed (Sold)
C
855$240,000$281+21%
+$41,044
sets the line
3536 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2123485
Closed (Sold)
C
1,472$353,200$240+12%
+$36,726
sets the line
630 COMET ⊘ no garage
2124486
Closed (Sold)
C
1,248$249,000$200-9%
−$24,809
sets the line
4015 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2144462
Closed (Sold)
C
970$239,000$246+8%
+$18,141
sets the line
3544 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2137973
Closed (Sold)
C
1,522$339,000$223+4%
+$13,003
sets the line
560 COMET ⊘ no garage
2136424
Closed (Sold)
C
1,190$270,000$227+3%
+$7,238
sets the line
3625 MYRA pool
2156285
Closed (Sold)
C
962$223,000$232+2%
+$3,664
sets the line
3526 ERNEST ⊘ no garage
2153846
Closed (Sold)
C
957$219,900$230+1%
+$1,517
sets the line
3519 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2159005
Under Contract
P
1,656$199,000$120-43%
−$152,520
plotted only
4040 GREEN
2164224
For Sale (Active)
A
1,277$163,750$128-41%
−$115,583
plotted only
662 MELBA ⊘ no garage
2135270
Did Not Sell
L
1,456$209,000$144-33%
−$104,426
plotted only
3526 DELLWOOD ⊘ no garage
2164280
For Sale (Active)
A
947$275,000$290+27%
+$58,521
plotted only
3607 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2138290
For Sale (Active)
A
739$135,000$183-24%
−$41,861
plotted only
4051 MYRA
2150754
For Sale (Active)
A
834$239,900$288+23%
+$44,944
plotted only
3607 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2098283
Did Not Sell
E
739$139,900$189-21%
−$36,961
plotted only
3539 PHYLLIS
2155298
For Sale (Active)
A
1,380$239,900$174-20%
−$59,051
plotted only
4037 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2136578
Under Contract
A
1,000$185,000$185-18%
−$41,573
plotted only
4065 DELLWOOD
2141689
Under Contract
A
1,202$219,000$182-17%
−$46,048
plotted only
683 BRIDAL ⊘ no garage
2164174
For Sale (Active)
A
1,144$209,900$183-17%
−$44,101
plotted only
4034 GREEN
2143301
For Sale (Active)
A
1,067$199,000$187-17%
−$40,335
plotted only
683 BRIDAL ⊘ no garage
2154822
Did Not Sell
E
1,144$214,000$187-16%
−$40,001
plotted only
4014 DELLWOOD
2162825
Under Contract
A
1,288$325,000$252+15%
+$43,572
plotted only
628 HERMAN ⊘ no garage
2158484
For Sale (Active)
A
1,064$209,900$197-12%
−$28,863
plotted only
4058 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2123006
Did Not Sell
L
868$225,000$259+12%
+$23,568
plotted only
4028 Ernest ⊘ no garage
SA264117
For Sale (Active)
A
1,458$344,900$237+10%
+$31,093
plotted only
871 MELBA
2141266
For Sale (Active)
A
1,185$239,900$202-8%
−$21,910
plotted only
3533 PHYLLIS ⊘ no garage
2138870
Did Not Sell
L
1,308$300,000$229+5%
+$14,763
plotted only
3545 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2142903
For Sale (Active)
A
1,447$299,000$207-4%
−$12,712
plotted only
3513 COLLEGE
2147349
For Sale (Active)
A
784$179,000$228-3%
−$6,432
plotted only
633 CHESTNUT
2149964
Did Not Sell
E
1,547$324,900$210-2%
−$5,859
plotted only
698 BRIDAL ⊘ no garage
2150336
For Sale (Active)
A
924$209,000$226-1%
−$3,098
plotted only
525 METEOR
2074444
Did Not Sell
L
1,459$269,900$185—outside the 6-mo window
3529 DELLWOOD ⊘ no garage
2076870
Closed (Sold)
C
905$229,000$253—outside the 6-mo window
3555 ERNEST ⊘ no garage
2087796
Did Not Sell
E
800$229,000$286—outside the 6-mo window
4059 COLLEGE
2107835
Closed (Sold)
C
952$205,000$215—outside the 6-mo window
4020 ERNEST
2113320
Did Not Sell
L
969$175,000$181—outside the 6-mo window
3516 MYRA ⊘ no garage
2093865
Did Not Sell
E
1,016$210,000$207—outside the 6-mo window
525 METEOR
2116072
Closed (Sold)
C
1,459$285,017$195—outside the 6-mo window
3608 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2105021
Did Not Sell
E
1,104$169,900$154—outside the 6-mo window
648 LUNA ⊘ no garage
2111525
Did Not Sell
L
1,472$150,000$102—outside the 6-mo window
934 Melba ⊘ no garage
SA255010
Closed (Sold)
C
1,864$399,000$214—outside the 6-mo window
3539 ROSSELLE
2098495
Closed (Sold)
C
1,759$325,020$185—outside the 6-mo window
4051 MYRA ⊘ no garage
2121292
Did Not Sell
L
834$153,500$184—outside the 6-mo window
4029 ERNEST
2119991
Did Not Sell
E
1,558$325,000$209—outside the 6-mo window
4060 DELLWOOD
2108086
Closed (Sold)
C
1,064$218,000$205—outside the 6-mo window
4014 Dellwood
1064826
Did Not Sell
L
1,288$5,000$4—outside the 6-mo window
4057 GREEN ⊘ no garage
2119138
Closed (Sold)
C
908$260,000$286—outside the 6-mo window
4058 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2112336
Did Not Sell
E
868$245,000$282—outside the 6-mo window
3522 ROSSELLE ⊘ no garage
2099163
Closed (Sold)
C
751$144,700$193—outside the 6-mo window
4021 MYRA ⊘ no garage
2120786
Closed (Sold)
C
744$150,000$202—outside the 6-mo window
4055 MYRA
2107828
Closed (Sold)
C
1,176$229,500$195—outside the 6-mo window
4031 ERNEST STREET
2125495
Did Not Sell
E
1,558$320,000$205—outside the 6-mo window
683 BRIDAL ⊘ no garage
2108651
Did Not Sell
L
1,144$234,900$205—outside the 6-mo window
4014 DELLWOOD ⊘ no garage
2126501
Closed (Sold)
C
1,288$152,000$118—outside the 6-mo window
560 COMET ⊘ no garage
2128790
Closed (Sold)
C
1,190$151,000$127—outside the 6-mo window
3567 GILMORE
2117209
Closed (Sold)
C
1,639$264,000$161—outside the 6-mo window
4002 COLLEGE
2041500
Closed (Sold)
C
1,549$354,000$229—outside the 6-mo window
4051 MYRA ⊘ no garage
2122795
Closed (Sold)
C
834$145,000$174—outside the 6-mo window
4014 GREEN
2049108
Closed (Sold)
C
1,110$253,500$228—outside the 6-mo window
923 MELBA
2094416
Closed (Sold)
C
1,540$240,000$156—outside the 6-mo window
606 METEOR
2089666
Closed (Sold)
C
868$175,000$202—outside the 6-mo window
664 BRIDAL ⊘ no garage
2046152
Did Not Sell
L
864$179,900$208—outside the 6-mo window
3642 ERNEST ⊘ no garage
2049591
Did Not Sell
L
1,010$299,900$297—outside the 6-mo window
625 HERMAN
2076553
Closed (Sold)
C
1,281$259,020$202—outside the 6-mo window
3651 GREEN
2070538
Closed (Sold)
C
1,199$309,000$258—outside the 6-mo window
3640 GILMORE
2059149
Did Not Sell
L
1,229$247,700$202—outside the 6-mo window
3619 GILMORE
2081139
Closed (Sold)
C
1,263$250,020$198—outside the 6-mo window
4004 MYRA
2068271
Closed (Sold)
C
1,243$268,000$216—outside the 6-mo window
3535 ROSSELLE ⊘ no garage
2066062
Closed (Sold)
C
1,572$225,000$143—outside the 6-mo window
4015 ERNEST
2077992
Closed (Sold)
C
1,085$242,000$223—outside the 6-mo window
3615 ERNEST
2076072
Closed (Sold)
C
844$241,300$286—outside the 6-mo window
3512 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2063826
Closed (Sold)
C
872$182,000$209—outside the 6-mo window
3615 GREEN ⊘ no garage
2082901
Closed (Sold)
C
1,050$257,000$245—outside the 6-mo window
658 CHESTNUT ⊘ no garage
2075298
Closed (Sold)
C
480$147,122$307—outside the 6-mo window
3549 COLLEGE
2062530
Closed (Sold)
C
1,764$320,000$181—outside the 6-mo window
3642 ERNEST
2074884
Closed (Sold)
C
1,010$254,900$252—outside the 6-mo window
830 NELSON
2087618
Closed (Sold)
C
891$135,000$152—outside the 6-mo window
939 Jasmine ⊘ no garage
SA254588
Closed (Sold)
C
1,346$267,000$198—outside the 6-mo window
669 HERMAN
2097264
Closed (Sold)
C
1,263$248,020$196—outside the 6-mo window
939 JASMINE ⊘ no garage
2070298
Closed (Sold)
C
1,346$267,000$198—outside the 6-mo window
4059 COLLEGE
2075067
Did Not Sell
L
952$210,000$221—outside the 6-mo window
634 HERMAN ⊘ no garage
2095140
Closed (Sold)
C
1,326$142,500$107—outside the 6-mo window
4059 COLLEGE
2059981
Did Not Sell
E
952$249,000$262—outside the 6-mo window
4020 ERNEST
2111191
Did Not Sell
L
969$222,000$229—outside the 6-mo window
3619 GILMORE
2053212
Did Not Sell
L
1,263$250,000$198—outside the 6-mo window
685 HERMAN
2092030
Closed (Sold)
C
1,263$247,020$196—outside the 6-mo window
3607 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2070479
Did Not Sell
E
739$189,900$257—outside the 6-mo window
3539 Dellwood ⊘ no garage
SA244969
Closed (Sold)
C
1,020$232,000$227—outside the 6-mo window
664 BRIDAL ⊘ no garage
2105460
Closed (Sold)
C
864$175,020$203—outside the 6-mo window
3544 GILMORE ⊘ no garage
2056375
Closed (Sold)
C
988$270,000$273—outside the 6-mo window
685 HERMAN
2070392
Did Not Sell
L
1,263$244,700$194—outside the 6-mo window
3534 DELLWOOD
2034739
Closed (Sold)
C
1,641$275,000$168—outside the 6-mo window
3549 ERNEST ⊘ no garage
2029783
Closed (Sold)
C
936$250,000$267—outside the 6-mo window
3539 DELLWOOD ⊘ no garage
2045855
Closed (Sold)
C
1,020$232,000$227—outside the 6-mo window
3549 COLLEGE
2040824
Did Not Sell
L
1,764$369,000$209—outside the 6-mo window
735 MELBA ⊘ no garage
2024996
Closed (Sold)
C
1,084$245,000$226—outside the 6-mo window
656 MELBA ⊘ no garage
2046174
Closed (Sold)
C
956$227,000$237—outside the 6-mo window
3544 COLLEGE ⊘ no garage
2099747
Did Not Sell
L
1,522$318,000$209—outside the 6-mo window
625 HERMAN
2044386
Did Not Sell
E
1,281$257,500$201—outside the 6-mo window
679 HERMAN
2038725
Did Not Sell
E
1,263$250,000$198—outside the 6-mo window
3529 DELLWOOD ⊘ no garage
1256110
Did Not Sell
E
905$255,000$282—outside the 6-mo window
4035 ERNEST
2020764
Closed (Sold)
C
760$195,000$257—outside the 6-mo window
4059 COLLEGE
2044981
Did Not Sell
E
952$269,900$284—outside the 6-mo window
3625 Myra ⊘ no garage
SA244461
Closed (Sold)
C
962$94,000$98—outside the 6-mo window
572 METEOR ⊘ no garage
2128964
Did Not Sell
E
1,236$248,395$201—outside the 6-mo window

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