Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close.  |  One-off run  ·  Lead queue

Choose comps — 15461 DEWANNA RD, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.
An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.
14 comps in the export · 9 plotted in the 6-month window · 4 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.
Fair Market line right now — built on 4 closed comps · R² 0.50 · 1σ band $52,115
Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.
Pricing Scattergram
KeepAddressStatussqftPrice$/sq ftvs fair line
5034 YOUNIS
2156252
Closed (Sold)
C
1,568$125,000$80-38%
−$75,860
sets the line
16057 JOHANNESSEN ⊘ no garage
2142218
Closed (Sold)
C
1,144$180,000$157+25%
+$35,931
sets the line
15666 SEARS ⊘ no garage
2133948
Closed (Sold)
C
1,940$283,000$146+13%
+$32,313
sets the line
15296 PARETE ⊘ no garage
2111537
Closed (Sold)
C
1,990$265,000$133+3%
+$7,616
sets the line
4810 PARETE ⊘ no garage
2128224
Did Not Sell
E
390$229,900$589+434%
+$186,823
plotted only
4810 PARETE
2163213
For Sale (Active)
A
390$229,000$587+432%
+$185,923
plotted only
15461 DEWANNA pool ⊘ no garage
2114538
Did Not Sell
E
2,072$349,000$168+30%
+$80,633
plotted only
15690 SEARS
2150433
Under Contract
P
1,270$199,900$157+24%
+$38,954
plotted only
15690 SEARS
2121904
Did Not Sell
L
1,270$190,214$150+18%
+$29,268
plotted only
15383 PARETE ⊘ no garage
2056020
Closed (Sold)
C
2,280$255,000$112—outside the 6-mo window
5694 LANNIE ⊘ no garage
2059331
Closed (Sold)
C
2,145$299,900$140—outside the 6-mo window
15666 SEARS ⊘ no garage
2069172
Did Not Sell
L
1,940$290,000$149—outside the 6-mo window
6226 LANNIE ⊘ no garage
2071696
Closed (Sold)
C
2,220$240,000$108—outside the 6-mo window
4859 PARETE ⊘ no garage
2124432
Closed (Sold)
C
1,685$300,000$178—outside the 6-mo window

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