Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 326 BIRD RD, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

21 comps in the export · 11 plotted in the 6-month window · 5 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 5 closed comps · R² 0.27 · 1σ band $120,436

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
14810 WADE pool ⊘ no garage 2126961	Closed (Sold) C	2,010	$150,000	$75	-52% −$160,670	sets the line
104 PARK 2124025	Closed (Sold) C	1,062	$235,000	$221	+45% +$73,382	sets the line
15221 ROBERT ⊘ no garage 2131226	Closed (Sold) C	1,404	$119,000	$85	-45% −$96,390	sets the line
15726 NORTHSIDE pool 2130873	Closed (Sold) C	2,098	$434,500	$207	+34% +$109,994	sets the line
81 NORTHSIDE pool 2118939	Closed (Sold) C	2,030	$387,500	$191	+23% +$73,685	sets the line
381 BIRD ⊘ no garage 2090061	Did Not Sell E	828	$257,000	$310	+106% +$132,173	plotted only
154 POLK ⊘ no garage 2148272	Under Contract A	832	$200,000	$240	+59% +$74,544	plotted only
15738 NORTHSIDE 2133293	For Sale (Active) A	1,825	$372,500	$204	+32% +$90,917	plotted only
15755 NORTHSIDE 2143317	For Sale (Active) A	2,107	$399,000	$189	+22% +$73,079	plotted only
11 NORTHSIDE 2118073	For Sale (Active) A	1,068	$198,900	$186	+22% +$36,338	plotted only
14019 GOSSETT ⊘ no garage 2135295	For Sale (Active) A	1,440	$175,000	$122	-21% −$46,050	plotted only
15811 JIM 2100080	Closed (Sold) C	1,732	$375,000	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
14502 GOSSETT ⊘ no garage 2099609	Closed (Sold) C	1,080	$175,000	$162	—	outside the 6-mo window
14521 MAIN ⊘ no garage 2102809	Closed (Sold) C	748	$92,500	$124	—	outside the 6-mo window
11 NORTHSIDE 2018944	Closed (Sold) C	1,068	$210,000	$197	—	outside the 6-mo window
14011 HOLLINGS 2016815	Closed (Sold) C	1,105	$185,000	$167	—	outside the 6-mo window
48 KIRK ⊘ no garage 1256123	Closed (Sold) C	1,116	$66,000	$59	—	outside the 6-mo window
319 PARK 2094982	Did Not Sell E	2,364	$374,995	$159	—	outside the 6-mo window
11 NORTHSIDE 2069398	Did Not Sell E	1,214	$220,000	$181	—	outside the 6-mo window
319 PARK 2053543	Did Not Sell E	1,080	$448,000	$415	—	outside the 6-mo window
15811 JIM 2091768	Did Not Sell L	1,732	$399,900	$231	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

14810 WADE pool ⊘ no garage
2126961

Closed (Sold)
C

2,010

$150,000

$75

-52%
−$160,670

sets the line

104 PARK
2124025

Closed (Sold)
C

1,062

$235,000

$221

+45%
+$73,382

sets the line

15221 ROBERT ⊘ no garage
2131226

Closed (Sold)
C

1,404

$119,000

$85

-45%
−$96,390

sets the line

15726 NORTHSIDE pool
2130873

Closed (Sold)
C

2,098

$434,500

$207

+34%
+$109,994

sets the line

81 NORTHSIDE pool
2118939

Closed (Sold)
C

2,030

$387,500

$191

+23%
+$73,685

sets the line

381 BIRD ⊘ no garage
2090061

Did Not Sell
E

828

$257,000

$310

+106%
+$132,173

plotted only

154 POLK ⊘ no garage
2148272

Under Contract
A

832

$200,000

$240

+59%
+$74,544

plotted only

15738 NORTHSIDE
2133293

For Sale (Active)
A

1,825

$372,500

$204

+32%
+$90,917

plotted only

15755 NORTHSIDE
2143317

For Sale (Active)
A

2,107

$399,000

$189

+22%
+$73,079

plotted only

11 NORTHSIDE
2118073

For Sale (Active)
A

1,068

$198,900

$186

+22%
+$36,338

plotted only

14019 GOSSETT ⊘ no garage
2135295

For Sale (Active)
A

1,440

$175,000

$122

-21%
−$46,050

plotted only

15811 JIM
2100080

Closed (Sold)
C

1,732

$375,000

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

14502 GOSSETT ⊘ no garage
2099609

Closed (Sold)
C

1,080

$175,000

$162

—

outside the 6-mo window

14521 MAIN ⊘ no garage
2102809

Closed (Sold)
C

748

$92,500

$124

—

outside the 6-mo window

11 NORTHSIDE
2018944

Closed (Sold)
C

1,068

$210,000

$197

—

outside the 6-mo window

14011 HOLLINGS
2016815

Closed (Sold)
C

1,105

$185,000

$167

—

outside the 6-mo window

48 KIRK ⊘ no garage
1256123

Closed (Sold)
C

1,116

$66,000

$59

—

outside the 6-mo window

319 PARK
2094982

Did Not Sell
E

2,364

$374,995

$159

—

outside the 6-mo window

11 NORTHSIDE
2069398

Did Not Sell
E

1,214

$220,000

$181

—

outside the 6-mo window

319 PARK
2053543

Did Not Sell
E

1,080

$448,000

$415

—

outside the 6-mo window

15811 JIM
2091768

Did Not Sell
L

1,732

$399,900

$231

—

outside the 6-mo window