Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close.  |  One-off run  ·  Lead queue

Choose comps — 1209 EAST ST, GREEN COVE SPRINGS FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.
An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.
121 comps in the export · 43 plotted in the 6-month window · 17 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.
Fair Market line right now — built on 17 closed comps · R² 0.57 · 1σ band $49,060
Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.
Pricing Scattergram
KeepAddressStatussqftPrice$/sq ftvs fair line
614 WASHINGTON ⊘ no garage
2154129
Closed (Sold)
C
792$30,000$38-75%
−$87,807
sets the line
1407 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2151339
Closed (Sold)
C
1,104$110,000$100-39%
−$69,872
sets the line
1643 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2124575
Closed (Sold)
C
1,098$235,000$214+32%
+$56,321
sets the line
1290 SPRUCE
2130590
Closed (Sold)
C
1,258$275,000$219+31%
+$64,493
sets the line
719 ANNE BONNEY
2128193
Closed (Sold)
C
1,102$233,000$211+30%
+$53,526
sets the line
104 JACK
2129823
Closed (Sold)
C
1,180$252,000$214+29%
+$57,010
sets the line
804 CYPRESS ⊘ no garage
2133186
Closed (Sold)
C
1,299$170,000$131-22%
−$48,663
sets the line
809 CYPRESS ⊘ no garage
2132518
Closed (Sold)
C
1,344$180,000$134-21%
−$47,614
sets the line
101 OAKRIDGE
2127773
Closed (Sold)
C
1,468$200,000$136-21%
−$52,281
sets the line
20 VERMONT ⊘ no garage
2127655
Closed (Sold)
C
1,145$225,000$197+20%
+$36,972
sets the line
1178 BUCCANEER
2121731
Closed (Sold)
C
1,408$285,000$202+19%
+$44,655
sets the line
1217 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2114355
Closed (Sold)
C
1,380$259,000$188+10%
+$24,225
sets the line
1110 NORTH
2105534
Closed (Sold)
C
1,680$312,500$186+6%
+$18,047
sets the line
1027 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR
2125614
Closed (Sold)
C
1,876$315,000$168-6%
−$18,442
sets the line
1027 Martin Luther King Jr ⊘ no garage
SA262450
Closed (Sold)
C
1,876$315,000$168-6%
−$18,442
sets the line
611 GUM
2141557
Closed (Sold)
C
1,513$249,000$165-5%
−$12,233
sets the line
219 WEST ⊘ no garage
2120656
Closed (Sold)
C
1,456$250,000$172+0%
+$106
sets the line
700 WALNUT
2135746
For Sale (Active)
A
2,433$1,150,000$473+159%
+$705,756
plotted only
802 CYPRESS ⊘ no garage
2145307
For Sale (Active)
A
909$227,500$250+61%
+$86,418
plotted only
1750 HARRING
2079967
Did Not Sell
L
1,003$249,500$249+56%
+$89,719
plotted only
1064 BUCCANEER
2153952
For Sale (Active)
A
1,085$257,500$237+46%
+$81,407
plotted only
1122 NORTH
2118912
Did Not Sell
L
1,032$224,000$217+35%
+$58,450
plotted only
1204 NORTH ⊘ no garage
2153691
For Sale (Active)
A
1,166$255,900$219+33%
+$63,695
plotted only
1165 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR
2119367
For Sale (Active)
A
1,262$275,000$218+30%
+$63,698
plotted only
100 HIGHLAND
2142179
For Sale (Active)
A
1,032$215,000$208+30%
+$49,450
plotted only
1181 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR
2114657
Under Contract
A
1,270$275,000$217+29%
+$62,106
plotted only
1308 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR ⊘ no garage
2150298
Did Not Sell
L
1,129$235,900$209+28%
+$51,055
plotted only
165 CYPRESS ⊘ no garage
2150149
For Sale (Active)
A
1,310$165,000$126-25%
−$55,851
plotted only
2 OAKRIDGE ⊘ no garage
2155091
For Sale (Active)
A
1,008$200,000$198+24%
+$39,225
plotted only
1308 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR ⊘ no garage
2154076
For Sale (Active)
A
1,129$229,000$203+24%
+$44,155
plotted only
1308 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR ⊘ no garage
2153869
Did Not Sell
L
1,129$229,000$203+24%
+$44,155
plotted only
600 LEMON ⊘ no garage
2099784
Did Not Sell
E
1,296$269,900$208+24%
+$51,834
plotted only
1506 NORTH ⊘ no garage
2137204
Under Contract
P
1,348$175,000$130-23%
−$53,410
plotted only
402 LEMON ⊘ no garage
2148837
For Sale (Active)
A
1,078$214,900$199+23%
+$40,200
plotted only
1014 WALNUT ⊘ no garage
2149629
For Sale (Active)
A
1,300$265,000$204+21%
+$46,139
plotted only
600 LEMON ⊘ no garage
2145907
For Sale (Active)
A
1,296$259,900$201+19%
+$41,834
plotted only
3 CITIZEN ⊘ no garage
2153755
Under Contract
A
1,400$205,000$146-14%
−$33,754
plotted only
735 CYPRESS
2123387
For Sale (Active)
A
1,281$245,000$191+14%
+$29,918
plotted only
1500 Forbes
1080437
For Sale (Active)
A
1,357$259,999$192+13%
+$29,799
plotted only
702 MARTIN LUTHER KING
2143844
For Sale (Active)
A
1,581$295,000$187+7%
+$20,241
plotted only
363 ROBERTS ⊘ no garage
2142661
Under Contract
A
1,444$229,999$159-7%
−$17,508
plotted only
1524 CENTER
2117022
Did Not Sell
L
1,554$285,000$183+6%
+$15,612
plotted only
1500 SPRUCE
2128014
Did Not Sell
E
1,371$229,500$167-1%
−$3,485
plotted only
101 ESPLANADE ⊘ no garage
2121772
For Sale (Active)
A
—$450,000$inf—no size/price — not plotted
2994 CLEMENTINE
2096759
Closed (Sold)
C
1,943$345,594$178—outside the 6-mo window
724 PINE
2097901
Closed (Sold)
C
1,613$335,000$208—outside the 6-mo window
107 PINE ⊘ no garage
2111166
Closed (Sold)
C
640$88,000$138—outside the 6-mo window
1534 CENTER
2114648
Closed (Sold)
C
1,224$245,000$200—outside the 6-mo window
1734 HARRING
2079965
Closed (Sold)
C
1,003$250,000$249—outside the 6-mo window
1316 BONAVENTURE
2106456
Closed (Sold)
C
1,300$246,000$189—outside the 6-mo window
1105 BUCCANEER
2108194
Closed (Sold)
C
1,386$255,000$184—outside the 6-mo window
1122 BONAVENTURE
2109633
Closed (Sold)
C
1,627$316,950$195—outside the 6-mo window
532 CYPRESS
2124020
Closed (Sold)
C
1,523$323,000$212—outside the 6-mo window
1116 BONAVENTURE
2104465
Closed (Sold)
C
1,433$295,000$206—outside the 6-mo window
1303 BONAVENTURE
2089898
Closed (Sold)
C
1,185$267,500$226—outside the 6-mo window
1005 PALMER ⊘ no garage
2110907
Closed (Sold)
C
1,238$219,000$177—outside the 6-mo window
710 ANNE BONNEY
2075282
Closed (Sold)
C
1,448$250,000$173—outside the 6-mo window
719 PINE
2058172
Closed (Sold)
C
1,627$321,900$198—outside the 6-mo window
1213 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2055145
Closed (Sold)
C
1,077$235,000$218—outside the 6-mo window
1405 CENTER
2060196
Closed (Sold)
C
1,833$330,000$180—outside the 6-mo window
319 PALM ⊘ no garage
2045086
Closed (Sold)
C
1,300$192,000$148—outside the 6-mo window
1204 HOUSTON
2070690
Closed (Sold)
C
1,876$196,000$104—outside the 6-mo window
200 VERMONT ⊘ no garage
2041753
Closed (Sold)
C
1,925$480,000$249—outside the 6-mo window
1051 CENTER ⊘ no garage
2039904
Closed (Sold)
C
952$75,000$79—outside the 6-mo window
138 HIGHLAND
2067934
Closed (Sold)
C
1,223$255,000$209—outside the 6-mo window
716 FERRIS
2073622
Closed (Sold)
C
1,908$389,000$204—outside the 6-mo window
734 CALICO JACK
2042601
Closed (Sold)
C
1,229$240,000$195—outside the 6-mo window
715 PINE
2053659
Closed (Sold)
C
1,560$310,000$199—outside the 6-mo window
800 CYPRESS ⊘ no garage
2088447
Closed (Sold)
C
909$190,000$209—outside the 6-mo window
35 VERMONT
2060199
Closed (Sold)
C
1,369$266,750$195—outside the 6-mo window
1108 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR ⊘ no garage
2060618
Closed (Sold)
C
1,500$259,000$173—outside the 6-mo window
202 HIGHLAND ⊘ no garage
2065656
Closed (Sold)
C
716$105,000$147—outside the 6-mo window
726 Calico Jack ⊘ no garage
SA252977
Closed (Sold)
C
1,287$204,000$159—outside the 6-mo window
644 CYPRESS
2056203
Closed (Sold)
C
1,430$326,460$228—outside the 6-mo window
715 SPRING ⊘ no garage
2033176
Closed (Sold)
C
2,210$396,000$179—outside the 6-mo window
1201 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2062286
Closed (Sold)
C
1,128$202,000$179—outside the 6-mo window
617 WASHINGTON ⊘ no garage
2075723
Closed (Sold)
C
640$40,000$62—outside the 6-mo window
305 HIGHLAND ⊘ no garage
2069616
Closed (Sold)
C
1,368$256,500$188—outside the 6-mo window
1054 CENTER ⊘ no garage
2081040
Closed (Sold)
C
1,260$224,900$178—outside the 6-mo window
411 CYPRESS
2073299
Closed (Sold)
C
1,200$267,000$222—outside the 6-mo window
1232 FORBES ⊘ no garage
2084906
Closed (Sold)
C
1,056$230,000$218—outside the 6-mo window
219 WEST ⊘ no garage
2077906
Closed (Sold)
C
1,456$140,000$96—outside the 6-mo window
726 CALICO JACK
2088300
Closed (Sold)
C
1,287$204,000$159—outside the 6-mo window
711 PINE
2068379
Closed (Sold)
C
1,735$322,000$186—outside the 6-mo window
503 CYPRESS
2083040
Closed (Sold)
C
1,581$308,500$195—outside the 6-mo window
1631 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2098533
Closed (Sold)
C
1,098$115,000$105—outside the 6-mo window
617 WASHINGTON ⊘ no garage
2052059
Closed (Sold)
C
640$27,500$43—outside the 6-mo window
701 CALICO JACK
2057614
Closed (Sold)
C
1,381$260,000$188—outside the 6-mo window
1111 CENTER ⊘ no garage
2096955
Closed (Sold)
C
1,305$228,000$175—outside the 6-mo window
1052 Buccaneer
SA243802
Closed (Sold)
C
1,560$279,990$179—outside the 6-mo window
1219 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2037114
Closed (Sold)
C
1,397$164,500$118—outside the 6-mo window
1607 HARRING ⊘ no garage
2040678
Closed (Sold)
C
1,025$225,000$220—outside the 6-mo window
1211 EAST ⊘ no garage
2038979
Closed (Sold)
C
1,102$203,000$184—outside the 6-mo window
204 SAN REMO ⊘ no garage
2049476
Closed (Sold)
C
1,218$201,000$165—outside the 6-mo window
1628 HARRING pool
2040681
Closed (Sold)
C
1,025$230,000$224—outside the 6-mo window
1014 WALNUT ⊘ no garage
2048378
Closed (Sold)
C
1,300$207,000$159—outside the 6-mo window
1005 PALMER ⊘ no garage
2105987
Did Not Sell
E
1,238$216,000$174—outside the 6-mo window
1623 HARRING
1252678
Did Not Sell
E
1,388$309,900$223—outside the 6-mo window
700 WALNUT
2096605
Did Not Sell
E
2,433$1,260,000$518—outside the 6-mo window
1111 CENTER ⊘ no garage
2059057
Did Not Sell
E
1,305$249,900$191—outside the 6-mo window
1111 CENTER ⊘ no garage
2077083
Did Not Sell
E
1,305$229,000$175—outside the 6-mo window
484 WASHINGTON
1246106
Did Not Sell
E
1,253$255,000$204—outside the 6-mo window
1005 PALMER ⊘ no garage
2044242
Did Not Sell
E
1,238$229,300$185—outside the 6-mo window
1405 CENTER
2039997
Did Not Sell
E
1,833$330,000$180—outside the 6-mo window
1005 PALMER ⊘ no garage
2074255
Did Not Sell
E
1,238$216,000$174—outside the 6-mo window
1524 CENTER
2102050
Did Not Sell
L
1,554$278,000$179—outside the 6-mo window
1332 WALNUT
2118076
Did Not Sell
L
1,112$210,000$189—outside the 6-mo window
1643 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2119754
Did Not Sell
L
1,098$249,000$227—outside the 6-mo window
716 FERRIS
2014668
Did Not Sell
L
1,908$375,000$197—outside the 6-mo window
4 HIGHLAND
2058083
Did Not Sell
L
1,032$275,000$266—outside the 6-mo window
800 CYPRESS ⊘ no garage
2033065
Did Not Sell
L
909$210,000$231—outside the 6-mo window
710 ANNE BONNEY
2036595
Did Not Sell
L
1,448$280,000$193—outside the 6-mo window
2998 CLEMENTINE
2091087
Did Not Sell
L
1,712$329,990$193—outside the 6-mo window
2 ROBERTS ⊘ no garage
2069765
Did Not Sell
L
1,132$199,900$177—outside the 6-mo window
206 CITIZEN ⊘ no garage
2060118
Did Not Sell
L
875$220,500$252—outside the 6-mo window
203 HIGHLAND ⊘ no garage
2099015
Did Not Sell
L
1,456$240,000$165—outside the 6-mo window
1217 SPRUCE ⊘ no garage
2092636
Did Not Sell
L
1,380$169,000$122—outside the 6-mo window
219 WEST ⊘ no garage
2047781
Did Not Sell
L
1,456$230,000$158—outside the 6-mo window
705 MILL ⊘ no garage
2037305
Did Not Sell
L
1,080$136,000$126—outside the 6-mo window
1064 BUCCANEER
2114937
Did Not Sell
L
1,085$199,000$183—outside the 6-mo window
203 HIGHLAND ⊘ no garage
2047134
Did Not Sell
L
1,456$275,000$189—outside the 6-mo window

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