Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 7913 NAPO DR, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

61 comps in the export · 28 plotted in the 6-month window · 22 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 22 closed comps · R² 0.28 · 1σ band $45,320

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
8114 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2140727	Closed (Sold) C	1,733	$222,500	$128	-30% −$95,949	sets the line
8151 LADOGA 2089294	Closed (Sold) C	1,678	$400,000	$238	+28% +$86,479	sets the line
3905 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2124233	Closed (Sold) C	1,818	$250,000	$138	-23% −$76,067	sets the line
8114 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2151025	Closed (Sold) C	1,733	$248,000	$143	-22% −$70,449	sets the line
8163 EL CIENTO 2124383	Closed (Sold) C	1,430	$345,000	$241	+18% +$53,704	sets the line
8048 ARGENTINE pool ⊘ no garage 2132845	Closed (Sold) C	1,871	$390,000	$208	+18% +$59,184	sets the line
7935 FRESCA ⊘ no garage 2144414	Closed (Sold) C	1,155	$229,000	$198	-14% −$37,652	sets the line
7807 MENDOZA 2126832	Closed (Sold) C	1,373	$323,000	$235	+13% +$36,812	sets the line
7807 Mendoza ⊘ no garage SA261389	Closed (Sold) C	1,373	$323,000	$235	+13% +$36,812	sets the line
4075 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2132570	Closed (Sold) C	1,435	$259,000	$180	-11% −$32,744	sets the line
8114 FRESCA ⊘ no garage 2128764	Closed (Sold) C	1,398	$260,000	$186	-10% −$28,429	sets the line
8173 EL CIENTO 2146118	Closed (Sold) C	1,430	$315,000	$220	+8% +$23,704	sets the line
4079 CONGA pool 2133746	Closed (Sold) C	2,390	$406,000	$170	+8% +$28,674	sets the line
7810 Napo pool ⊘ no garage SA262733	Closed (Sold) C	1,770	$345,000	$195	+7% +$23,235	sets the line
7810 NAPO pool ⊘ no garage 2103331	Closed (Sold) C	1,770	$345,000	$195	+7% +$23,235	sets the line
3988 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2146849	Closed (Sold) C	1,650	$295,000	$179	-5% −$16,011	sets the line
7915 FRESCA ⊘ no garage 2137032	Closed (Sold) C	1,550	$289,900	$187	-4% −$12,150	sets the line
7845 NAPO 2126345	Closed (Sold) C	1,350	$295,000	$219	+4% +$10,873	sets the line
4342 HABANA ⊘ no garage 2123970	Closed (Sold) C	1,414	$300,000	$212	+3% +$10,137	sets the line
3938 SIERRA MADRE pool ⊘ no garage 2140223	Closed (Sold) C	2,391	$365,000	$153	-3% −$12,415	sets the line
4005 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2108100	Closed (Sold) C	1,421	$285,000	$201	-2% −$5,490	sets the line
4005 Ferrarra ⊘ no garage SA261333	Closed (Sold) C	1,421	$285,000	$201	-2% −$5,490	sets the line
8159 LADOGA pool 2152989	For Sale (Active) A	1,944	$389,000	$200	+15% +$51,642	plotted only
8015 MENDOZA 2147430	For Sale (Active) A	1,600	$349,000	$218	+14% +$42,469	plotted only
3994 CONGA ⊘ no garage 2155847	For Sale (Active) A	1,983	$375,000	$189	+10% +$34,147	plotted only
3938 SIERRA MADRE pool ⊘ no garage 2131733	Did Not Sell E	2,391	$355,000	$148	-6% −$22,415	plotted only
4079 CONGA pool 2105595	Did Not Sell L	2,390	$399,000	$167	+6% +$21,674	plotted only
4037 CONGA 2138922	Did Not Sell L	1,692	$309,000	$183	-2% −$5,775	plotted only
4203 MARIANNA 2080757	Closed (Sold) C	1,570	$340,000	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
4014 CONGA ⊘ no garage 2108033	Closed (Sold) C	1,134	$180,000	$159	—	outside the 6-mo window
7724 NAPO ⊘ no garage 2108177	Closed (Sold) C	1,368	$225,500	$165	—	outside the 6-mo window
4316 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2094766	Closed (Sold) C	1,109	$219,000	$197	—	outside the 6-mo window
3983 HABANA ⊘ no garage 2088063	Closed (Sold) C	1,729	$283,000	$164	—	outside the 6-mo window
4056 SIERRA MADRE ⊘ no garage 2109405	Did Not Sell L	2,123	$395,000	$186	—	outside the 6-mo window
8043 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2111533	Did Not Sell E	1,296	$319,000	$246	—	outside the 6-mo window
3946 CONGA ⊘ no garage 2047777	Did Not Sell L	1,140	$269,900	$237	—	outside the 6-mo window
7446 SPINOLA 2058051	Did Not Sell L	1,654	$359,900	$218	—	outside the 6-mo window
4117 HABANA ⊘ no garage 2062304	Closed (Sold) C	1,454	$275,000	$189	—	outside the 6-mo window
3915 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2060198	Closed (Sold) C	1,105	$250,000	$226	—	outside the 6-mo window
3946 CONGA ⊘ no garage 2061872	Closed (Sold) C	1,140	$245,000	$215	—	outside the 6-mo window
7446 SPINOLA ⊘ no garage 2069164	Closed (Sold) C	1,654	$350,000	$212	—	outside the 6-mo window
7810 NAPO pool ⊘ no garage 2063342	Did Not Sell E	1,770	$400,000	$226	—	outside the 6-mo window
8122 SANTILLO ⊘ no garage 1261397	Did Not Sell E	2,387	$460,500	$193	—	outside the 6-mo window
8042 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2059746	Closed (Sold) C	1,560	$360,000	$231	—	outside the 6-mo window
4114 SIERRA MADRE ⊘ no garage 2045427	Closed (Sold) C	1,650	$295,000	$179	—	outside the 6-mo window
3802 CONGA 2074125	Closed (Sold) C	1,595	$325,000	$204	—	outside the 6-mo window
4005 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2088532	Closed (Sold) C	1,421	$200,000	$141	—	outside the 6-mo window
4028 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2049179	Closed (Sold) C	1,055	$270,000	$256	—	outside the 6-mo window
3920 CANO ⊘ no garage 2067361	Closed (Sold) C	2,037	$380,000	$187	—	outside the 6-mo window
3929 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2054547	Closed (Sold) C	1,401	$305,000	$218	—	outside the 6-mo window
7934 OLD KINGS 2097297	Closed (Sold) C	1,437	$240,000	$167	—	outside the 6-mo window
7925 FRESCA ⊘ no garage 2030752	Closed (Sold) C	1,296	$295,000	$228	—	outside the 6-mo window
7905 NAPO ⊘ no garage 2032664	Closed (Sold) C	1,432	$300,000	$209	—	outside the 6-mo window
4079 CONGA 2039535	Closed (Sold) C	2,390	$399,000	$167	—	outside the 6-mo window
4409 HABANA 2021210	Closed (Sold) C	2,103	$365,000	$174	—	outside the 6-mo window
7963 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2035188	Closed (Sold) C	1,248	$298,900	$240	—	outside the 6-mo window
8042 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2031796	Did Not Sell L	1,560	$360,000	$231	—	outside the 6-mo window
4072 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage 2039926	Closed (Sold) C	1,570	$325,000	$207	—	outside the 6-mo window
4117 HABANA ⊘ no garage 2043377	Did Not Sell E	1,454	$279,000	$192	—	outside the 6-mo window
8042 NARANJA ⊘ no garage 2050512	Did Not Sell L	1,560	$370,000	$237	—	outside the 6-mo window
4330 FERRARRA 2052577	Closed (Sold) C	1,391	$275,000	$198	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

8114 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2140727

Closed (Sold)
C

1,733

$222,500

$128

-30%
−$95,949

sets the line

8151 LADOGA
2089294

Closed (Sold)
C

1,678

$400,000

$238

+28%
+$86,479

sets the line

3905 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2124233

Closed (Sold)
C

1,818

$250,000

$138

-23%
−$76,067

sets the line

8114 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2151025

Closed (Sold)
C

1,733

$248,000

$143

-22%
−$70,449

sets the line

8163 EL CIENTO
2124383

Closed (Sold)
C

1,430

$345,000

$241

+18%
+$53,704

sets the line

8048 ARGENTINE pool ⊘ no garage
2132845

Closed (Sold)
C

1,871

$390,000

$208

+18%
+$59,184

sets the line

7935 FRESCA ⊘ no garage
2144414

Closed (Sold)
C

1,155

$229,000

$198

-14%
−$37,652

sets the line

7807 MENDOZA
2126832

Closed (Sold)
C

1,373

$323,000

$235

+13%
+$36,812

sets the line

7807 Mendoza ⊘ no garage
SA261389

Closed (Sold)
C

1,373

$323,000

$235

+13%
+$36,812

sets the line

4075 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2132570

Closed (Sold)
C

1,435

$259,000

$180

-11%
−$32,744

sets the line

8114 FRESCA ⊘ no garage
2128764

Closed (Sold)
C

1,398

$260,000

$186

-10%
−$28,429

sets the line

8173 EL CIENTO
2146118

Closed (Sold)
C

1,430

$315,000

$220

+8%
+$23,704

sets the line

4079 CONGA pool
2133746

Closed (Sold)
C

2,390

$406,000

$170

+8%
+$28,674

sets the line

7810 Napo pool ⊘ no garage
SA262733

Closed (Sold)
C

1,770

$345,000

$195

+7%
+$23,235

sets the line

7810 NAPO pool ⊘ no garage
2103331

Closed (Sold)
C

1,770

$345,000

$195

+7%
+$23,235

sets the line

3988 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2146849

Closed (Sold)
C

1,650

$295,000

$179

-5%
−$16,011

sets the line

7915 FRESCA ⊘ no garage
2137032

Closed (Sold)
C

1,550

$289,900

$187

-4%
−$12,150

sets the line

7845 NAPO
2126345

Closed (Sold)
C

1,350

$295,000

$219

+4%
+$10,873

sets the line

4342 HABANA ⊘ no garage
2123970

Closed (Sold)
C

1,414

$300,000

$212

+3%
+$10,137

sets the line

3938 SIERRA MADRE pool ⊘ no garage
2140223

Closed (Sold)
C

2,391

$365,000

$153

-3%
−$12,415

sets the line

4005 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2108100

Closed (Sold)
C

1,421

$285,000

$201

-2%
−$5,490

sets the line

4005 Ferrarra ⊘ no garage
SA261333

Closed (Sold)
C

1,421

$285,000

$201

-2%
−$5,490

sets the line

8159 LADOGA pool
2152989

For Sale (Active)
A

1,944

$389,000

$200

+15%
+$51,642

plotted only

8015 MENDOZA
2147430

For Sale (Active)
A

1,600

$349,000

$218

+14%
+$42,469

plotted only

3994 CONGA ⊘ no garage
2155847

For Sale (Active)
A

1,983

$375,000

$189

+10%
+$34,147

plotted only

3938 SIERRA MADRE pool ⊘ no garage
2131733

Did Not Sell
E

2,391

$355,000

$148

-6%
−$22,415

plotted only

4079 CONGA pool
2105595

Did Not Sell
L

2,390

$399,000

$167

+6%
+$21,674

plotted only

4037 CONGA
2138922

Did Not Sell
L

1,692

$309,000

$183

-2%
−$5,775

plotted only

4203 MARIANNA
2080757

Closed (Sold)
C

1,570

$340,000

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

4014 CONGA ⊘ no garage
2108033

Closed (Sold)
C

1,134

$180,000

$159

—

outside the 6-mo window

7724 NAPO ⊘ no garage
2108177

Closed (Sold)
C

1,368

$225,500

$165

—

outside the 6-mo window

4316 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2094766

Closed (Sold)
C

1,109

$219,000

$197

—

outside the 6-mo window

3983 HABANA ⊘ no garage
2088063

Closed (Sold)
C

1,729

$283,000

$164

—

outside the 6-mo window

4056 SIERRA MADRE ⊘ no garage
2109405

Did Not Sell
L

2,123

$395,000

$186

—

outside the 6-mo window

8043 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2111533

Did Not Sell
E

1,296

$319,000

$246

—

outside the 6-mo window

3946 CONGA ⊘ no garage
2047777

Did Not Sell
L

1,140

$269,900

$237

—

outside the 6-mo window

7446 SPINOLA
2058051

Did Not Sell
L

1,654

$359,900

$218

—

outside the 6-mo window

4117 HABANA ⊘ no garage
2062304

Closed (Sold)
C

1,454

$275,000

$189

—

outside the 6-mo window

3915 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2060198

Closed (Sold)
C

1,105

$250,000

$226

—

outside the 6-mo window

3946 CONGA ⊘ no garage
2061872

Closed (Sold)
C

1,140

$245,000

$215

—

outside the 6-mo window

7446 SPINOLA ⊘ no garage
2069164

Closed (Sold)
C

1,654

$350,000

$212

—

outside the 6-mo window

7810 NAPO pool ⊘ no garage
2063342

Did Not Sell
E

1,770

$400,000

$226

—

outside the 6-mo window

8122 SANTILLO ⊘ no garage
1261397

Did Not Sell
E

2,387

$460,500

$193

—

outside the 6-mo window

8042 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2059746

Closed (Sold)
C

1,560

$360,000

$231

—

outside the 6-mo window

4114 SIERRA MADRE ⊘ no garage
2045427

Closed (Sold)
C

1,650

$295,000

$179

—

outside the 6-mo window

3802 CONGA
2074125

Closed (Sold)
C

1,595

$325,000

$204

—

outside the 6-mo window

4005 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2088532

Closed (Sold)
C

1,421

$200,000

$141

—

outside the 6-mo window

4028 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2049179

Closed (Sold)
C

1,055

$270,000

$256

—

outside the 6-mo window

3920 CANO ⊘ no garage
2067361

Closed (Sold)
C

2,037

$380,000

$187

—

outside the 6-mo window

3929 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2054547

Closed (Sold)
C

1,401

$305,000

$218

—

outside the 6-mo window

7934 OLD KINGS
2097297

Closed (Sold)
C

1,437

$240,000

$167

—

outside the 6-mo window

7925 FRESCA ⊘ no garage
2030752

Closed (Sold)
C

1,296

$295,000

$228

—

outside the 6-mo window

7905 NAPO ⊘ no garage
2032664

Closed (Sold)
C

1,432

$300,000

$209

—

outside the 6-mo window

4079 CONGA
2039535

Closed (Sold)
C

2,390

$399,000

$167

—

outside the 6-mo window

4409 HABANA
2021210

Closed (Sold)
C

2,103

$365,000

$174

—

outside the 6-mo window

7963 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2035188

Closed (Sold)
C

1,248

$298,900

$240

—

outside the 6-mo window

8042 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2031796

Did Not Sell
L

1,560

$360,000

$231

—

outside the 6-mo window

4072 FERRARRA ⊘ no garage
2039926

Closed (Sold)
C

1,570

$325,000

$207

—

outside the 6-mo window

4117 HABANA ⊘ no garage
2043377

Did Not Sell
E

1,454

$279,000

$192

—

outside the 6-mo window

8042 NARANJA ⊘ no garage
2050512

Did Not Sell
L

1,560

$370,000

$237

—

outside the 6-mo window

4330 FERRARRA
2052577

Closed (Sold)
C

1,391

$275,000

$198

—

outside the 6-mo window