Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close.  |  One-off run  ·  Lead queue

Choose comps — 3914 MANDARIN WOODS DR N, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.
An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.
8 comps in the export · 4 plotted in the 6-month window · 3 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.
Fair Market line right now — built on 3 closed comps · R² 0.08 · 1σ band $9,170
Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.
Pricing Scattergram
KeepAddressStatussqftPrice$/sq ftvs fair line
11479 PINE FOREST Court
2151037		Closed (Sold)
C		1,108$315,500$285+3%
+$9,763		sets the line
11515 PINE FOREST Court
2135322		Closed (Sold)
C		1,096$298,000$272-3%
−$8,431		sets the line
3815 MANDARIN WOODS Drive
2135286		Closed (Sold)
C		1,184$300,011$253-0%
−$1,331		sets the line
3876 MANDARIN WOODS Drive
2154403		Under Contract
A		1,607$345,000$215+25%
+$68,120		plotted only
11453 CYPRESS BEND Court
2110164		Closed (Sold)
C		1,095$300,000$274—outside the 6-mo window
3882 MANDARIN WOODS Drive pool
2072849		Closed (Sold)
C		1,286$325,000$253—outside the 6-mo window
11511 MANDARIN WOODS Drive
2044331		Closed (Sold)
C		1,282$311,000$243—outside the 6-mo window
11509 PINE FOREST Court
2026773		Closed (Sold)
C		1,922$329,900$172—outside the 6-mo window

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