Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 7588 CINNAMON TEA CT, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

25 comps in the export · 8 plotted in the 6-month window · 5 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 5 closed comps · R² 0.35 · 1σ band $29,373

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
7535 GINGER TEA Trail 2140231	Closed (Sold) C	1,730	$225,000	$130	-17% −$44,472	sets the line
7529 ALLSPICE Circle 2135261	Closed (Sold) C	1,592	$280,000	$176	+10% +$26,397	sets the line
7571 CAPERS Place 2136847	Closed (Sold) C	1,650	$280,500	$170	+8% +$20,228	sets the line
7832 PEPPER Circle 2127929	Closed (Sold) C	1,244	$199,000	$160	-7% −$14,586	sets the line
7753 PEPPER Circle 2124287	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$265,000	$167	+5% +$12,432	sets the line
7809 ALLSPICE Circle 2138916	For Sale (Active) A	1,188	$284,000	$239	+37% +$76,854	plotted only
7826 ALLSPICE Circle 2157432	For Sale (Active) A	1,318	$275,000	$209	+24% +$52,905	plotted only
7737 PEPPER Circle 2148264	For Sale (Active) A	1,655	$263,000	$159	+1% +$2,153	plotted only
7831 ALLSPICE Circle 2078290	Closed (Sold) C	1,344	$285,000	$212	—	outside the 6-mo window
7823 ALLSPICE Circle 2083181	Closed (Sold) C	1,210	$235,000	$194	—	outside the 6-mo window
7831 ALLSPICE Circle 2021421	Closed (Sold) C	1,344	$280,000	$208	—	outside the 6-mo window
7558 ALLSPICE Circle 2048100	Closed (Sold) C	1,372	$275,000	$200	—	outside the 6-mo window
7517 GINGER TEA Trail 2016559	Closed (Sold) C	1,425	$287,000	$201	—	outside the 6-mo window
7753 PEPPER Circle 2037667	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$280,000	$177	—	outside the 6-mo window
7364 PEPPER Circle 2074918	Closed (Sold) C	1,473	$205,000	$139	—	outside the 6-mo window
7327 CINNAMON TEA Lane 2113553	Closed (Sold) C	1,648	$299,000	$181	—	outside the 6-mo window
7601 GINGER TEA Trail 2014809	Closed (Sold) C	1,267	$275,000	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
7713 PEPPER Circle 2085218	Closed (Sold) C	1,280	$249,000	$195	—	outside the 6-mo window
7354 PAPRIKA Court 2083346	Closed (Sold) C	1,409	$255,000	$181	—	outside the 6-mo window
7534 ALLSPICE Circle 2060519	Closed (Sold) C	1,508	$280,000	$186	—	outside the 6-mo window
7743 MARJORAM Place 2030595	Closed (Sold) C	1,618	$245,000	$151	—	outside the 6-mo window
7821 PEPPER Circle 2038006	Closed (Sold) C	1,225	$260,000	$212	—	outside the 6-mo window
7772 PEPPER Circle 2052196	Closed (Sold) C	1,571	$264,900	$169	—	outside the 6-mo window
7354 PAPRIKA Court 2048349	Closed (Sold) C	1,409	$205,000	$145	—	outside the 6-mo window
7345 CINNAMON TEA Lane 2043589	Closed (Sold) C	1,241	$275,000	$222	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

7535 GINGER TEA Trail
2140231

Closed (Sold)
C

1,730

$225,000

$130

-17%
−$44,472

sets the line

7529 ALLSPICE Circle
2135261

Closed (Sold)
C

1,592

$280,000

$176

+10%
+$26,397

sets the line

7571 CAPERS Place
2136847

Closed (Sold)
C

1,650

$280,500

$170

+8%
+$20,228

sets the line

7832 PEPPER Circle
2127929

Closed (Sold)
C

1,244

$199,000

$160

-7%
−$14,586

sets the line

7753 PEPPER Circle
2124287

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$265,000

$167

+5%
+$12,432

sets the line

7809 ALLSPICE Circle
2138916

For Sale (Active)
A

1,188

$284,000

$239

+37%
+$76,854

plotted only

7826 ALLSPICE Circle
2157432

For Sale (Active)
A

1,318

$275,000

$209

+24%
+$52,905

plotted only

7737 PEPPER Circle
2148264

For Sale (Active)
A

1,655

$263,000

$159

+1%
+$2,153

plotted only

7831 ALLSPICE Circle
2078290

Closed (Sold)
C

1,344

$285,000

$212

—

outside the 6-mo window

7823 ALLSPICE Circle
2083181

Closed (Sold)
C

1,210

$235,000

$194

—

outside the 6-mo window

7831 ALLSPICE Circle
2021421

Closed (Sold)
C

1,344

$280,000

$208

—

outside the 6-mo window

7558 ALLSPICE Circle
2048100

Closed (Sold)
C

1,372

$275,000

$200

—

outside the 6-mo window

7517 GINGER TEA Trail
2016559

Closed (Sold)
C

1,425

$287,000

$201

—

outside the 6-mo window

7753 PEPPER Circle
2037667

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$280,000

$177

—

outside the 6-mo window

7364 PEPPER Circle
2074918

Closed (Sold)
C

1,473

$205,000

$139

—

outside the 6-mo window

7327 CINNAMON TEA Lane
2113553

Closed (Sold)
C

1,648

$299,000

$181

—

outside the 6-mo window

7601 GINGER TEA Trail
2014809

Closed (Sold)
C

1,267

$275,000

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

7713 PEPPER Circle
2085218

Closed (Sold)
C

1,280

$249,000

$195

—

outside the 6-mo window

7354 PAPRIKA Court
2083346

Closed (Sold)
C

1,409

$255,000

$181

—

outside the 6-mo window

7534 ALLSPICE Circle
2060519

Closed (Sold)
C

1,508

$280,000

$186

—

outside the 6-mo window

7743 MARJORAM Place
2030595

Closed (Sold)
C

1,618

$245,000

$151

—

outside the 6-mo window

7821 PEPPER Circle
2038006

Closed (Sold)
C

1,225

$260,000

$212

—

outside the 6-mo window

7772 PEPPER Circle
2052196

Closed (Sold)
C

1,571

$264,900

$169

—

outside the 6-mo window

7354 PAPRIKA Court
2048349

Closed (Sold)
C

1,409

$205,000

$145

—

outside the 6-mo window

7345 CINNAMON TEA Lane
2043589

Closed (Sold)
C

1,241

$275,000

$222

—

outside the 6-mo window