Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 7811 S CHATEAU DR, JACKSONVILLE, FL 32221
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

42 comps in the export · 13 plotted in the 6-month window · 2 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 2 closed comps · R² 1.00 · 1σ band $0

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
7815 RENOIR ⊘ no garage 2122440	Closed (Sold) C	980	$162,000	$165	+0% +$0	sets the line
1832 GABIN 2140434	Closed (Sold) C	920	$189,000	$205	+0% +$0	sets the line
1722 DUPRE 2157401	For Sale (Active) A	1,263	$127,000	$101	+267% +$92,350	plotted only
7822 DUBOIS ⊘ no garage 2116778	Did Not Sell E	1,174	$215,000	$183	+188% +$140,300	plotted only
1722 Dupre 1068475	Did Not Sell L	1,263	$5,000	$4	-86% −$29,650	plotted only
1647 FOURAKER ⊘ no garage 2072711	Did Not Sell E	1,124	$174,900	$156	+80% +$77,700	plotted only
7905 RENOIR ⊘ no garage 2130275	Did Not Sell L	1,000	$204,000	$204	+33% +$51,000	plotted only
1640 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage 2148823	Under Contract A	1,614	$184,800	$114	—	plotted only
8023 CHATEAU 2158430	For Sale (Active) A	1,756	$245,000	$140	—	plotted only
1629 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2143696	For Sale (Active) A	1,343	$230,000	$171	—	plotted only
7999 CECIL pool ⊘ no garage 2154029	For Sale (Active) A	2,183	$224,999	$103	—	plotted only
8146 LA MARNE ⊘ no garage 2154579	For Sale (Active) A	1,340	$150,000	$112	—	plotted only
8023 CHATEAU 2098765	Did Not Sell E	1,756	$239,900	$137	—	plotted only
1629 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2099060	Did Not Sell L	1,343	$245,000	$182	—	outside the 6-mo window
1851 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2106421	Did Not Sell L	1,358	$245,000	$180	—	outside the 6-mo window
7931 CEZANNE 2102583	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$285,000	$180	—	outside the 6-mo window
7947 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage 2117145	Closed (Sold) C	1,500	$220,000	$147	—	outside the 6-mo window
1665 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2106435	Closed (Sold) C	1,124	$150,000	$133	—	outside the 6-mo window
8029 CHATEAU pool ⊘ no garage 2057794	Did Not Sell E	1,346	$125,000	$93	—	outside the 6-mo window
1728 LE BOIS ⊘ no garage 2053029	Did Not Sell L	1,112	$199,900	$180	—	outside the 6-mo window
7904 DUBOIS pool 2049531	Did Not Sell L	1,862	$295,000	$158	—	outside the 6-mo window
7804 RENOIR ⊘ no garage 2044390	Closed (Sold) C	1,124	$130,000	$116	—	outside the 6-mo window
1726 LATOUR ⊘ no garage 2051279	Closed (Sold) C	2,475	$140,000	$57	—	outside the 6-mo window
7937 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage 2065189	Closed (Sold) C	1,370	$171,000	$125	—	outside the 6-mo window
1651 LINDSEY 2072830	Closed (Sold) C	1,759	$230,000	$131	—	outside the 6-mo window
7908 RENOIR ⊘ no garage 2076734	Closed (Sold) C	1,075	$165,000	$153	—	outside the 6-mo window
1736 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2056715	Closed (Sold) C	1,423	$250,000	$176	—	outside the 6-mo window
1714 DUPRE ⊘ no garage 2054718	Closed (Sold) C	1,340	$204,900	$153	—	outside the 6-mo window
7815 DUBOIS ⊘ no garage 2069176	Did Not Sell E	1,404	$229,000	$163	—	outside the 6-mo window
7911 CECIL ⊘ no garage 2103617	Closed (Sold) C	1,574	$112,000	$71	—	outside the 6-mo window
1728 LE BOIS ⊘ no garage 2065889	Closed (Sold) C	1,112	$162,500	$146	—	outside the 6-mo window
1851 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2094391	Did Not Sell L	1,358	$269,900	$199	—	outside the 6-mo window
7902 RENOIR 2097740	Closed (Sold) C	1,134	$210,000	$185	—	outside the 6-mo window
7931 LA TREC ⊘ no garage 2060189	Closed (Sold) C	1,054	$187,000	$177	—	outside the 6-mo window
7835 CEZANNE ⊘ no garage 2050571	Closed (Sold) C	1,240	$214,683	$173	—	outside the 6-mo window
7821 CEZANNE ⊘ no garage 2061864	Closed (Sold) C	1,735	$230,000	$133	—	outside the 6-mo window
7936 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage 2066979	Closed (Sold) C	1,210	$108,480	$90	—	outside the 6-mo window
7912 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage 2028266	Closed (Sold) C	1,260	$212,000	$168	—	outside the 6-mo window
1807 LINDSEY 2029154	Did Not Sell L	1,504	$255,900	$170	—	outside the 6-mo window
1719 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage 2052182	Closed (Sold) C	1,602	$258,000	$161	—	outside the 6-mo window
7936 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage 2086582	Closed (Sold) C	1,210	$207,500	$171	—	outside the 6-mo window
8145 RAYMOND 2095391	Closed (Sold) C	1,788	$350,000	$196	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

7815 RENOIR ⊘ no garage
2122440

Closed (Sold)
C

980

$162,000

$165

+0%
+$0

sets the line

1832 GABIN
2140434

Closed (Sold)
C

920

$189,000

$205

+0%
+$0

sets the line

1722 DUPRE
2157401

For Sale (Active)
A

1,263

$127,000

$101

+267%
+$92,350

plotted only

7822 DUBOIS ⊘ no garage
2116778

Did Not Sell
E

1,174

$215,000

$183

+188%
+$140,300

plotted only

1722 Dupre
1068475

Did Not Sell
L

1,263

$5,000

-86%
−$29,650

plotted only

1647 FOURAKER ⊘ no garage
2072711

Did Not Sell
E

1,124

$174,900

$156

+80%
+$77,700

plotted only

7905 RENOIR ⊘ no garage
2130275

Did Not Sell
L

1,000

$204,000

$204

+33%
+$51,000

plotted only

1640 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage
2148823

Under Contract
A

1,614

$184,800

$114

—

plotted only

8023 CHATEAU
2158430

For Sale (Active)
A

1,756

$245,000

$140

—

plotted only

1629 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2143696

For Sale (Active)
A

1,343

$230,000

$171

—

plotted only

7999 CECIL pool ⊘ no garage
2154029

For Sale (Active)
A

2,183

$224,999

$103

—

plotted only

8146 LA MARNE ⊘ no garage
2154579

For Sale (Active)
A

1,340

$150,000

$112

—

plotted only

8023 CHATEAU
2098765

Did Not Sell
E

1,756

$239,900

$137

—

plotted only

1629 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2099060

Did Not Sell
L

1,343

$245,000

$182

—

outside the 6-mo window

1851 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2106421

Did Not Sell
L

1,358

$245,000

$180

—

outside the 6-mo window

7931 CEZANNE
2102583

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$285,000

$180

—

outside the 6-mo window

7947 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage
2117145

Closed (Sold)
C

1,500

$220,000

$147

—

outside the 6-mo window

1665 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2106435

Closed (Sold)
C

1,124

$150,000

$133

—

outside the 6-mo window

8029 CHATEAU pool ⊘ no garage
2057794

Did Not Sell
E

1,346

$125,000

$93

—

outside the 6-mo window

1728 LE BOIS ⊘ no garage
2053029

Did Not Sell
L

1,112

$199,900

$180

—

outside the 6-mo window

7904 DUBOIS pool
2049531

Did Not Sell
L

1,862

$295,000

$158

—

outside the 6-mo window

7804 RENOIR ⊘ no garage
2044390

Closed (Sold)
C

1,124

$130,000

$116

—

outside the 6-mo window

1726 LATOUR ⊘ no garage
2051279

Closed (Sold)
C

2,475

$140,000

$57

—

outside the 6-mo window

7937 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage
2065189

Closed (Sold)
C

1,370

$171,000

$125

—

outside the 6-mo window

1651 LINDSEY
2072830

Closed (Sold)
C

1,759

$230,000

$131

—

outside the 6-mo window

7908 RENOIR ⊘ no garage
2076734

Closed (Sold)
C

1,075

$165,000

$153

—

outside the 6-mo window

1736 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2056715

Closed (Sold)
C

1,423

$250,000

$176

—

outside the 6-mo window

1714 DUPRE ⊘ no garage
2054718

Closed (Sold)
C

1,340

$204,900

$153

—

outside the 6-mo window

7815 DUBOIS ⊘ no garage
2069176

Did Not Sell
E

1,404

$229,000

$163

—

outside the 6-mo window

7911 CECIL ⊘ no garage
2103617

Closed (Sold)
C

1,574

$112,000

$71

—

outside the 6-mo window

1728 LE BOIS ⊘ no garage
2065889

Closed (Sold)
C

1,112

$162,500

$146

—

outside the 6-mo window

1851 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2094391

Did Not Sell
L

1,358

$269,900

$199

—

outside the 6-mo window

7902 RENOIR
2097740

Closed (Sold)
C

1,134

$210,000

$185

—

outside the 6-mo window

7931 LA TREC ⊘ no garage
2060189

Closed (Sold)
C

1,054

$187,000

$177

—

outside the 6-mo window

7835 CEZANNE ⊘ no garage
2050571

Closed (Sold)
C

1,240

$214,683

$173

—

outside the 6-mo window

7821 CEZANNE ⊘ no garage
2061864

Closed (Sold)
C

1,735

$230,000

$133

—

outside the 6-mo window

7936 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage
2066979

Closed (Sold)
C

1,210

$108,480

$90

—

outside the 6-mo window

7912 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage
2028266

Closed (Sold)
C

1,260

$212,000

$168

—

outside the 6-mo window

1807 LINDSEY
2029154

Did Not Sell
L

1,504

$255,900

$170

—

outside the 6-mo window

1719 LOUVRE ⊘ no garage
2052182

Closed (Sold)
C

1,602

$258,000

$161

—

outside the 6-mo window

7936 CHATEAU ⊘ no garage
2086582

Closed (Sold)
C

1,210

$207,500

$171

—

outside the 6-mo window

8145 RAYMOND
2095391

Closed (Sold)
C

1,788

$350,000

$196

—

outside the 6-mo window