Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 3554 TIARA WAY W, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

27 comps in the export · 10 plotted in the 6-month window · 8 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 8 closed comps · R² 0.40 · 1σ band $12,997

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
3389 EXCALIBUR 2139688	Closed (Sold) C	948	$200,500	$211	-11% −$25,568	sets the line
3404 ISLANDER 2134735	Closed (Sold) C	930	$240,000	$258	+7% +$16,286	sets the line
3327 CATAMARAN 2122561	Closed (Sold) C	1,074	$254,000	$236	+5% +$11,454	sets the line
3371 DONZI 2124387	Closed (Sold) C	948	$235,000	$248	+4% +$8,932	sets the line
3335 CATAMARAN 2135100	Closed (Sold) C	1,068	$235,000	$220	-3% −$6,761	sets the line
3606 CHAPPI 2139419	Closed (Sold) C	930	$222,000	$239	-1% −$1,714	sets the line
11432 SKIPJACK 2141537	Closed (Sold) C	1,068	$240,000	$225	-1% −$1,761	sets the line
3416 ISLANDER 2139242	Closed (Sold) C	1,130	$249,000	$220	-0% −$869	sets the line
11432 GODFREY 2140459	Did Not Sell L	1,082	$215,000	$199	-12% −$28,592	plotted only
11441 ATWOOD 2158873	For Sale (Active) A	1,068	$255,000	$239	+5% +$13,239	plotted only
3344 ROBALO 2118749	Closed (Sold) C	971	$221,500	$228	—	outside the 6-mo window
3325 EXCALIBUR 2120741	Closed (Sold) C	1,211	$266,000	$220	—	outside the 6-mo window
11462 ATWOOD 2121058	Closed (Sold) C	930	$220,000	$237	—	outside the 6-mo window
11440 JOHN DORY 2113646	Did Not Sell E	1,132	$270,000	$239	—	outside the 6-mo window
11427 MALIBU 2095895	Did Not Sell L	948	$248,000	$262	—	outside the 6-mo window
3444 EXCALIBUR 2083243	Closed (Sold) C	1,068	$233,000	$218	—	outside the 6-mo window
3366 DONZI 2063717	Closed (Sold) C	1,104	$240,000	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
3317 ROBALO 2071551	Closed (Sold) C	1,132	$225,000	$199	—	outside the 6-mo window
3518 TIARA 2051031	Did Not Sell E	1,143	$250,000	$219	—	outside the 6-mo window
11463 LANCER 2064420	Closed (Sold) C	1,274	$200,000	$157	—	outside the 6-mo window
3608 CHAPPI 2069039	Closed (Sold) C	1,116	$205,000	$184	—	outside the 6-mo window
11423 ATWOOD 2074382	Closed (Sold) C	1,068	$285,000	$267	—	outside the 6-mo window
11439 GODFREY 2097518	Closed (Sold) C	1,155	$215,000	$186	—	outside the 6-mo window
11433 GLENN MOTTIN 2100233	Closed (Sold) C	1,099	$260,000	$237	—	outside the 6-mo window
11467 STINGER 2046401	Closed (Sold) C	1,094	$263,000	$240	—	outside the 6-mo window
3434 GLENN MOTTIN 2053355	Closed (Sold) C	1,092	$230,000	$211	—	outside the 6-mo window
3518 Tiara SA243401	Did Not Sell E	1,143	$250,000	$219	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

3389 EXCALIBUR
2139688

Closed (Sold)
C

948

$200,500

$211

-11%
−$25,568

sets the line

3404 ISLANDER
2134735

Closed (Sold)
C

930

$240,000

$258

+7%
+$16,286

sets the line

3327 CATAMARAN
2122561

Closed (Sold)
C

1,074

$254,000

$236

+5%
+$11,454

sets the line

3371 DONZI
2124387

Closed (Sold)
C

948

$235,000

$248

+4%
+$8,932

sets the line

3335 CATAMARAN
2135100

Closed (Sold)
C

1,068

$235,000

$220

-3%
−$6,761

sets the line

3606 CHAPPI
2139419

Closed (Sold)
C

930

$222,000

$239

-1%
−$1,714

sets the line

11432 SKIPJACK
2141537

Closed (Sold)
C

1,068

$240,000

$225

-1%
−$1,761

sets the line

3416 ISLANDER
2139242

Closed (Sold)
C

1,130

$249,000

$220

-0%
−$869

sets the line

11432 GODFREY
2140459

Did Not Sell
L

1,082

$215,000

$199

-12%
−$28,592

plotted only

11441 ATWOOD
2158873

For Sale (Active)
A

1,068

$255,000

$239

+5%
+$13,239

plotted only

3344 ROBALO
2118749

Closed (Sold)
C

971

$221,500

$228

—

outside the 6-mo window

3325 EXCALIBUR
2120741

Closed (Sold)
C

1,211

$266,000

$220

—

outside the 6-mo window

11462 ATWOOD
2121058

Closed (Sold)
C

930

$220,000

$237

—

outside the 6-mo window

11440 JOHN DORY
2113646

Did Not Sell
E

1,132

$270,000

$239

—

outside the 6-mo window

11427 MALIBU
2095895

Did Not Sell
L

948

$248,000

$262

—

outside the 6-mo window

3444 EXCALIBUR
2083243

Closed (Sold)
C

1,068

$233,000

$218

—

outside the 6-mo window

3366 DONZI
2063717

Closed (Sold)
C

1,104

$240,000

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

3317 ROBALO
2071551

Closed (Sold)
C

1,132

$225,000

$199

—

outside the 6-mo window

3518 TIARA
2051031

Did Not Sell
E

1,143

$250,000

$219

—

outside the 6-mo window

11463 LANCER
2064420

Closed (Sold)
C

1,274

$200,000

$157

—

outside the 6-mo window

3608 CHAPPI
2069039

Closed (Sold)
C

1,116

$205,000

$184

—

outside the 6-mo window

11423 ATWOOD
2074382

Closed (Sold)
C

1,068

$285,000

$267

—

outside the 6-mo window

11439 GODFREY
2097518

Closed (Sold)
C

1,155

$215,000

$186

—

outside the 6-mo window

11433 GLENN MOTTIN
2100233

Closed (Sold)
C

1,099

$260,000

$237

—

outside the 6-mo window

11467 STINGER
2046401

Closed (Sold)
C

1,094

$263,000

$240

—

outside the 6-mo window

3434 GLENN MOTTIN
2053355

Closed (Sold)
C

1,092

$230,000

$211

—

outside the 6-mo window

3518 Tiara
SA243401

Did Not Sell
E

1,143

$250,000

$219

—

outside the 6-mo window