Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 4593 SANTA CLARA AVE, MIDDLEBURG FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

66 comps in the export · 26 plotted in the 6-month window · 14 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 14 closed comps · R² 0.26 · 1σ band $77,343

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
3139 DEER pool 2134836	Closed (Sold) C	1,652	$215,000	$130	-45% −$173,008	sets the line
4871 GOPHER pool 2147783	Closed (Sold) C	1,961	$575,000	$293	+38% +$159,218	sets the line
2924 SQUIRREL pool 2129599	Closed (Sold) C	2,115	$535,000	$253	+25% +$105,376	sets the line
2893 LONGLEAF RANCH 2145185	Closed (Sold) C	2,192	$375,000	$171	-14% −$61,545	sets the line
4505 RANCH PINES 2141450	Closed (Sold) C	1,867	$365,000	$196	-10% −$42,333	sets the line
4665 GOPHER 2132290	Closed (Sold) C	2,000	$460,000	$230	+10% +$40,712	sets the line
4774 LEOPARD ⊘ no garage 2127755	Closed (Sold) C	1,283	$388,000	$302	+9% +$33,159	sets the line
4620 HEDGEHOG pool 2155737	Closed (Sold) C	3,126	$474,900	$152	-9% −$45,596	sets the line
4656 HEDGEHOG 2119088	Closed (Sold) C	1,300	$335,000	$258	-6% −$21,369	sets the line
3024 LONGLEAF RANCH pool 2143874	Closed (Sold) C	1,728	$415,000	$240	+5% +$20,161	sets the line
2961 BEAVER 2130259	Closed (Sold) C	1,469	$362,500	$247	-2% −$9,060	sets the line
2883 LONGLEAF RANCH 2139862	Closed (Sold) C	2,076	$422,000	$203	-1% −$4,119	sets the line
4561 Chipmunk pool SA261596	Closed (Sold) C	1,238	$350,000	$283	-0% −$797	sets the line
4561 CHIPMUNK pool 2124529	Closed (Sold) C	1,238	$350,000	$283	-0% −$797	sets the line
4466 SANTA CLARA pool 2120416	For Sale (Active) A	2,030	$625,000	$308	+48% +$203,016	plotted only
2946 LONGLEAF RANCH 2142209	For Sale (Active) A	2,362	$310,000	$131	-31% −$141,825	plotted only
2946 LONGLEAF RANCH 2127193	Did Not Sell L	2,362	$325,000	$138	-28% −$126,825	plotted only
4661 HEDGEHOG pool ⊘ no garage 2123058	Did Not Sell L	1,735	$286,200	$165	-28% −$109,269	plotted only
4883 GOPHER pool 2150499	For Sale (Active) A	2,060	$324,900	$158	-23% −$99,781	plotted only
4785 GOPHER 2160036	For Sale (Active) A	2,950	$620,000	$210	+23% +$115,323	plotted only
4737 JAVELINE 2152866	For Sale (Active) A	1,374	$445,000	$324	+23% +$81,979	plotted only
3112 Longleaf Ranch SA262964	Under Contract P	3,000	$399,000	$133	-22% −$110,171	plotted only
4620 BURDOCK 2154012	Under Contract A	1,809	$449,900	$249	+12% +$47,780	plotted only
4551 ANTELOPE 2153075	For Sale (Active) A	1,754	$369,000	$210	-7% −$28,176	plotted only
4415 TALL PINES 2150509	Under Contract A	2,471	$439,900	$178	-5% −$21,723	plotted only
3087 DEER 2160069	For Sale (Active) A	1,440	$365,000	$253	-1% −$3,953	plotted only
4919 KANGAROO ⊘ no garage 2068606	Closed (Sold) C	2,144	$465,000	$217	—	outside the 6-mo window
4710 KANGAROO 2104491	Closed (Sold) C	1,352	$275,000	$203	—	outside the 6-mo window
4568 CHIPMUNK ⊘ no garage 2104214	Closed (Sold) C	1,344	$324,500	$241	—	outside the 6-mo window
2871 THISTLE 2043209	Closed (Sold) C	1,741	$319,000	$183	—	outside the 6-mo window
4466 SANTA CLARA 2104496	Did Not Sell E	3,000	$770,000	$257	—	outside the 6-mo window
4774 LEOPARD ⊘ no garage 2061960	Did Not Sell E	1,584	$449,990	$284	—	outside the 6-mo window
4661 HEDGEHOG 2116972	Did Not Sell L	1,201	$319,000	$266	—	outside the 6-mo window
4654 KANGAROO 2104671	Closed (Sold) C	1,540	$308,510	$200	—	outside the 6-mo window
4780 GOPHER 2106132	Closed (Sold) C	1,800	$437,000	$243	—	outside the 6-mo window
3022 HIDDEN OAKS 2105876	Closed (Sold) C	1,839	$337,500	$184	—	outside the 6-mo window
4575 ARMADILLO 2034598	Did Not Sell L	1,715	$555,000	$324	—	outside the 6-mo window
4795 GOPHER 2053682	Did Not Sell L	2,950	$570,000	$193	—	outside the 6-mo window
3024 LONGLEAF RANCH pool 2057585	Closed (Sold) C	1,728	$414,000	$240	—	outside the 6-mo window
4770 KANGAROO 2055691	Closed (Sold) C	1,384	$310,000	$224	—	outside the 6-mo window
3032 LONGLEAF RANCH 2067815	Closed (Sold) C	2,165	$415,000	$192	—	outside the 6-mo window
4700 JAVELINE 2069920	Closed (Sold) C	2,000	$395,000	$198	—	outside the 6-mo window
4710 KANGAROO 2052219	Did Not Sell E	1,352	$299,900	$222	—	outside the 6-mo window
3351 COUNTY ROAD 215 pool 2066511	Closed (Sold) C	1,307	$329,900	$252	—	outside the 6-mo window
4634 JAVELINE pool 2075363	Closed (Sold) C	1,470	$350,000	$238	—	outside the 6-mo window
4628 KANGAROO 2077122	Closed (Sold) C	2,272	$490,000	$216	—	outside the 6-mo window
4686 JAVELINE pool ⊘ no garage 2077811	Closed (Sold) C	2,110	$420,000	$199	—	outside the 6-mo window
2934 SQUIRREL 2057610	Closed (Sold) C	1,395	$324,000	$232	—	outside the 6-mo window
4676 HEDGEHOG 2047445	Did Not Sell E	1,284	$339,000	$264	—	outside the 6-mo window
4795 KANGAROO 2085842	Closed (Sold) C	2,000	$459,900	$230	—	outside the 6-mo window
4766 HEDGEHOG pool 2063703	Closed (Sold) C	2,537	$485,000	$191	—	outside the 6-mo window
4575 ARMADILLO 2077696	Closed (Sold) C	1,800	$550,000	$306	—	outside the 6-mo window
2988 BEAVER 2091786	Closed (Sold) C	1,544	$399,900	$259	—	outside the 6-mo window
4780 Gopher SA256796	Closed (Sold) C	1,424	$437,000	$307	—	outside the 6-mo window
3001 ALPACA 2059207	Closed (Sold) C	1,888	$459,900	$244	—	outside the 6-mo window
3187 COUNTY ROAD 215 pool 2046383	Closed (Sold) C	2,519	$320,000	$127	—	outside the 6-mo window
3031 LONGLEAF RANCH 2098754	Closed (Sold) C	2,482	$410,000	$165	—	outside the 6-mo window
4501 CHIPMUNK 2041296	Closed (Sold) C	1,564	$390,000	$249	—	outside the 6-mo window
3046 HIDDEN OAKS ⊘ no garage 2037198	Closed (Sold) C	1,956	$440,900	$225	—	outside the 6-mo window
2961 BEAVER 2016712	Did Not Sell L	1,469	$365,000	$248	—	outside the 6-mo window
4761 LEOPARD ⊘ no garage 2032380	Closed (Sold) C	1,516	$375,000	$247	—	outside the 6-mo window
3027 HIDDEN OAKS 2034445	Closed (Sold) C	1,821	$444,900	$244	—	outside the 6-mo window
4515 DAPHNE 2029218	Closed (Sold) C	2,239	$410,000	$183	—	outside the 6-mo window
2883 LONGLEAF RANCH 2053139	Closed (Sold) C	2,076	$400,000	$193	—	outside the 6-mo window
4665 GOPHER 2051326	Closed (Sold) C	2,000	$435,000	$218	—	outside the 6-mo window
4781 GOPHER 2082689	Did Not Sell E	2,232	$500,000	$224	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

3139 DEER pool
2134836

Closed (Sold)
C

1,652

$215,000

$130

-45%
−$173,008

sets the line

4871 GOPHER pool
2147783

Closed (Sold)
C

1,961

$575,000

$293

+38%
+$159,218

sets the line

2924 SQUIRREL pool
2129599

Closed (Sold)
C

2,115

$535,000

$253

+25%
+$105,376

sets the line

2893 LONGLEAF RANCH
2145185

Closed (Sold)
C

2,192

$375,000

$171

-14%
−$61,545

sets the line

4505 RANCH PINES
2141450

Closed (Sold)
C

1,867

$365,000

$196

-10%
−$42,333

sets the line

4665 GOPHER
2132290

Closed (Sold)
C

2,000

$460,000

$230

+10%
+$40,712

sets the line

4774 LEOPARD ⊘ no garage
2127755

Closed (Sold)
C

1,283

$388,000

$302

+9%
+$33,159

sets the line

4620 HEDGEHOG pool
2155737

Closed (Sold)
C

3,126

$474,900

$152

-9%
−$45,596

sets the line

4656 HEDGEHOG
2119088

Closed (Sold)
C

1,300

$335,000

$258

-6%
−$21,369

sets the line

3024 LONGLEAF RANCH pool
2143874

Closed (Sold)
C

1,728

$415,000

$240

+5%
+$20,161

sets the line

2961 BEAVER
2130259

Closed (Sold)
C

1,469

$362,500

$247

-2%
−$9,060

sets the line

2883 LONGLEAF RANCH
2139862

Closed (Sold)
C

2,076

$422,000

$203

-1%
−$4,119

sets the line

4561 Chipmunk pool
SA261596

Closed (Sold)
C

1,238

$350,000

$283

-0%
−$797

sets the line

4561 CHIPMUNK pool
2124529

Closed (Sold)
C

1,238

$350,000

$283

-0%
−$797

sets the line

4466 SANTA CLARA pool
2120416

For Sale (Active)
A

2,030

$625,000

$308

+48%
+$203,016

plotted only

2946 LONGLEAF RANCH
2142209

For Sale (Active)
A

2,362

$310,000

$131

-31%
−$141,825

plotted only

2946 LONGLEAF RANCH
2127193

Did Not Sell
L

2,362

$325,000

$138

-28%
−$126,825

plotted only

4661 HEDGEHOG pool ⊘ no garage
2123058

Did Not Sell
L

1,735

$286,200

$165

-28%
−$109,269

plotted only

4883 GOPHER pool
2150499

For Sale (Active)
A

2,060

$324,900

$158

-23%
−$99,781

plotted only

4785 GOPHER
2160036

For Sale (Active)
A

2,950

$620,000

$210

+23%
+$115,323

plotted only

4737 JAVELINE
2152866

For Sale (Active)
A

1,374

$445,000

$324

+23%
+$81,979

plotted only

3112 Longleaf Ranch
SA262964

Under Contract
P

3,000

$399,000

$133

-22%
−$110,171

plotted only

4620 BURDOCK
2154012

Under Contract
A

1,809

$449,900

$249

+12%
+$47,780

plotted only

4551 ANTELOPE
2153075

For Sale (Active)
A

1,754

$369,000

$210

-7%
−$28,176

plotted only

4415 TALL PINES
2150509

Under Contract
A

2,471

$439,900

$178

-5%
−$21,723

plotted only

3087 DEER
2160069

For Sale (Active)
A

1,440

$365,000

$253

-1%
−$3,953

plotted only

4919 KANGAROO ⊘ no garage
2068606

Closed (Sold)
C

2,144

$465,000

$217

—

outside the 6-mo window

4710 KANGAROO
2104491

Closed (Sold)
C

1,352

$275,000

$203

—

outside the 6-mo window

4568 CHIPMUNK ⊘ no garage
2104214

Closed (Sold)
C

1,344

$324,500

$241

—

outside the 6-mo window

2871 THISTLE
2043209

Closed (Sold)
C

1,741

$319,000

$183

—

outside the 6-mo window

4466 SANTA CLARA
2104496

Did Not Sell
E

3,000

$770,000

$257

—

outside the 6-mo window

4774 LEOPARD ⊘ no garage
2061960

Did Not Sell
E

1,584

$449,990

$284

—

outside the 6-mo window

4661 HEDGEHOG
2116972

Did Not Sell
L

1,201

$319,000

$266

—

outside the 6-mo window

4654 KANGAROO
2104671

Closed (Sold)
C

1,540

$308,510

$200

—

outside the 6-mo window

4780 GOPHER
2106132

Closed (Sold)
C

1,800

$437,000

$243

—

outside the 6-mo window

3022 HIDDEN OAKS
2105876

Closed (Sold)
C

1,839

$337,500

$184

—

outside the 6-mo window

4575 ARMADILLO
2034598

Did Not Sell
L

1,715

$555,000

$324

—

outside the 6-mo window

4795 GOPHER
2053682

Did Not Sell
L

2,950

$570,000

$193

—

outside the 6-mo window

3024 LONGLEAF RANCH pool
2057585

Closed (Sold)
C

1,728

$414,000

$240

—

outside the 6-mo window

4770 KANGAROO
2055691

Closed (Sold)
C

1,384

$310,000

$224

—

outside the 6-mo window

3032 LONGLEAF RANCH
2067815

Closed (Sold)
C

2,165

$415,000

$192

—

outside the 6-mo window

4700 JAVELINE
2069920

Closed (Sold)
C

2,000

$395,000

$198

—

outside the 6-mo window

4710 KANGAROO
2052219

Did Not Sell
E

1,352

$299,900

$222

—

outside the 6-mo window

3351 COUNTY ROAD 215 pool
2066511

Closed (Sold)
C

1,307

$329,900

$252

—

outside the 6-mo window

4634 JAVELINE pool
2075363

Closed (Sold)
C

1,470

$350,000

$238

—

outside the 6-mo window

4628 KANGAROO
2077122

Closed (Sold)
C

2,272

$490,000

$216

—

outside the 6-mo window

4686 JAVELINE pool ⊘ no garage
2077811

Closed (Sold)
C

2,110

$420,000

$199

—

outside the 6-mo window

2934 SQUIRREL
2057610

Closed (Sold)
C

1,395

$324,000

$232

—

outside the 6-mo window

4676 HEDGEHOG
2047445

Did Not Sell
E

1,284

$339,000

$264

—

outside the 6-mo window

4795 KANGAROO
2085842

Closed (Sold)
C

2,000

$459,900

$230

—

outside the 6-mo window

4766 HEDGEHOG pool
2063703

Closed (Sold)
C

2,537

$485,000

$191

—

outside the 6-mo window

4575 ARMADILLO
2077696

Closed (Sold)
C

1,800

$550,000

$306

—

outside the 6-mo window

2988 BEAVER
2091786

Closed (Sold)
C

1,544

$399,900

$259

—

outside the 6-mo window

4780 Gopher
SA256796

Closed (Sold)
C

1,424

$437,000

$307

—

outside the 6-mo window

3001 ALPACA
2059207

Closed (Sold)
C

1,888

$459,900

$244

—

outside the 6-mo window

3187 COUNTY ROAD 215 pool
2046383

Closed (Sold)
C

2,519

$320,000

$127

—

outside the 6-mo window

3031 LONGLEAF RANCH
2098754

Closed (Sold)
C

2,482

$410,000

$165

—

outside the 6-mo window

4501 CHIPMUNK
2041296

Closed (Sold)
C

1,564

$390,000

$249

—

outside the 6-mo window

3046 HIDDEN OAKS ⊘ no garage
2037198

Closed (Sold)
C

1,956

$440,900

$225

—

outside the 6-mo window

2961 BEAVER
2016712

Did Not Sell
L

1,469

$365,000

$248

—

outside the 6-mo window

4761 LEOPARD ⊘ no garage
2032380

Closed (Sold)
C

1,516

$375,000

$247

—

outside the 6-mo window

3027 HIDDEN OAKS
2034445

Closed (Sold)
C

1,821

$444,900

$244

—

outside the 6-mo window

4515 DAPHNE
2029218

Closed (Sold)
C

2,239

$410,000

$183

—

outside the 6-mo window

2883 LONGLEAF RANCH
2053139

Closed (Sold)
C

2,076

$400,000

$193

—

outside the 6-mo window

4665 GOPHER
2051326

Closed (Sold)
C

2,000

$435,000

$218

—

outside the 6-mo window

4781 GOPHER
2082689

Did Not Sell
E

2,232

$500,000

$224

—

outside the 6-mo window