Pricing Analysis

FlexMLS comp analysis — scattergram, odds of selling, time to close. | One-off run · Lead queue

Choose comps — 11521 OTTERS DEN CT N, JACKSONVILLE FL
Untick a comp to throw it out, then re-run. Sorted by distance from the Fair Market line, so the outliers sit at the top.

An excluded comp is dropped from every chart and from the regression — not just hidden on the scattergram. A band you saved is kept. Nothing is destroyed: untick, look, re-tick.

31 comps in the export · 9 plotted in the 6-month window · 4 set the Fair Market line · 0 excluded.

Fair Market line right now — built on 4 closed comps · R² 0.50 · 1σ band $20,137

Only the comps marked sets the line move this. Unticking a wild ACTIVE or PENDING listing tidies the scattergram but will not move the ARV by a dollar — the regression is fit on closed sales only. Watch these three numbers after each re-run: a jumping R² means you are cutting real market, not an outlier.

Address	Status	sqft	Price	$/sq ft	vs fair line
11673 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2119978	Closed (Sold) C	1,741	$251,000	$144	-10% −$27,192	sets the line
11714 RAINDROP Road 2138578	Closed (Sold) C	1,845	$305,000	$165	+6% +$17,857	sets the line
6759 SALT POND Drive 2103657	Closed (Sold) C	1,492	$269,000	$180	+5% +$12,239	sets the line
11550 DEEP SPRINGS Drive 2144717	Closed (Sold) C	1,331	$240,000	$180	-1% −$2,904	sets the line
11407 DEEP SPRINGS Drive 2158065	For Sale (Active) A	1,710	$375,000	$219	+36% +$99,476	plotted only
7285 RAPID RIVER Drive 2158400	For Sale (Active) A	1,799	$310,000	$172	+9% +$26,816	plotted only
11424 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2140994	Under Contract P	1,930	$272,000	$141	-8% −$22,459	plotted only
11935 CROOKED RIVER Road pool 2122794	For Sale (Active) A	1,742	$260,000	$149	-7% −$18,278	plotted only
11758 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2162373	For Sale (Active) A	2,295	$314,900	$137	-3% −$10,975	plotted only
11899 CROOKED RIVER Road 2018070	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$240,000	$152	—	outside the 6-mo window
11812 RAINDROP Road 2024747	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$275,000	$174	—	outside the 6-mo window
11262 SALT POND DR E Drive 2086916	Closed (Sold) C	2,044	$170,000	$83	—	outside the 6-mo window
11509 OTTERS DEN Drive 2052086	Closed (Sold) C	2,130	$319,900	$150	—	outside the 6-mo window
11262 SALT POND Drive 2109383	Closed (Sold) C	2,044	$326,000	$159	—	outside the 6-mo window
11630 TURTLE RUN Court 2082171	Closed (Sold) C	1,519	$257,500	$170	—	outside the 6-mo window
7008 RAPID RIVER Drive 2002094	Closed (Sold) C	1,799	$290,000	$161	—	outside the 6-mo window
7285 RAPID RIVER Drive 1241086	Closed (Sold) C	1,799	$297,000	$165	—	outside the 6-mo window
11526 DEEP SPRINGS Drive pool 2094354	Closed (Sold) C	1,392	$341,000	$245	—	outside the 6-mo window
11650 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2012610	Closed (Sold) C	1,712	$310,000	$181	—	outside the 6-mo window
11517 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2083037	Closed (Sold) C	1,506	$245,000	$163	—	outside the 6-mo window
11472 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2029660	Closed (Sold) C	1,290	$272,000	$211	—	outside the 6-mo window
11467 DEEP SPRINGS Drive 2084282	Closed (Sold) C	1,762	$282,000	$160	—	outside the 6-mo window
6960 RAPID RIVER Drive 2071877	Closed (Sold) C	1,781	$279,900	$157	—	outside the 6-mo window
11337 SALT POND Drive 2075919	Closed (Sold) C	1,302	$256,000	$197	—	outside the 6-mo window
6723 SALT POND Drive 2035716	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$295,000	$186	—	outside the 6-mo window
11506 OTTERS DEN Drive 2022813	Closed (Sold) C	1,468	$205,000	$140	—	outside the 6-mo window
11841 GULF SHORES Court 2019474	Closed (Sold) C	2,142	$330,000	$154	—	outside the 6-mo window
11875 CROOKED RIVER Road 2002420	Closed (Sold) C	1,794	$290,000	$162	—	outside the 6-mo window
11613 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard 2000055	Closed (Sold) C	1,781	$310,000	$174	—	outside the 6-mo window
11812 RAINDROP Road 1250651	Closed (Sold) C	1,583	$269,500	$170	—	outside the 6-mo window
11490 DEEP SPRINGS Drive 2043596	Closed (Sold) C	1,764	$300,000	$170	—	outside the 6-mo window

Keep

Address

Status

sqft

Price

$/sq ft

vs fair line

11673 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2119978

Closed (Sold)
C

1,741

$251,000

$144

-10%
−$27,192

sets the line

11714 RAINDROP Road
2138578

Closed (Sold)
C

1,845

$305,000

$165

+6%
+$17,857

sets the line

6759 SALT POND Drive
2103657

Closed (Sold)
C

1,492

$269,000

$180

+5%
+$12,239

sets the line

11550 DEEP SPRINGS Drive
2144717

Closed (Sold)
C

1,331

$240,000

$180

-1%
−$2,904

sets the line

11407 DEEP SPRINGS Drive
2158065

For Sale (Active)
A

1,710

$375,000

$219

+36%
+$99,476

plotted only

7285 RAPID RIVER Drive
2158400

For Sale (Active)
A

1,799

$310,000

$172

+9%
+$26,816

plotted only

11424 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2140994

Under Contract
P

1,930

$272,000

$141

-8%
−$22,459

plotted only

11935 CROOKED RIVER Road pool
2122794

For Sale (Active)
A

1,742

$260,000

$149

-7%
−$18,278

plotted only

11758 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2162373

For Sale (Active)
A

2,295

$314,900

$137

-3%
−$10,975

plotted only

11899 CROOKED RIVER Road
2018070

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$240,000

$152

—

outside the 6-mo window

11812 RAINDROP Road
2024747

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$275,000

$174

—

outside the 6-mo window

11262 SALT POND DR E Drive
2086916

Closed (Sold)
C

2,044

$170,000

$83

—

outside the 6-mo window

11509 OTTERS DEN Drive
2052086

Closed (Sold)
C

2,130

$319,900

$150

—

outside the 6-mo window

11262 SALT POND Drive
2109383

Closed (Sold)
C

2,044

$326,000

$159

—

outside the 6-mo window

11630 TURTLE RUN Court
2082171

Closed (Sold)
C

1,519

$257,500

$170

—

outside the 6-mo window

7008 RAPID RIVER Drive
2002094

Closed (Sold)
C

1,799

$290,000

$161

—

outside the 6-mo window

7285 RAPID RIVER Drive
1241086

Closed (Sold)
C

1,799

$297,000

$165

—

outside the 6-mo window

11526 DEEP SPRINGS Drive pool
2094354

Closed (Sold)
C

1,392

$341,000

$245

—

outside the 6-mo window

11650 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2012610

Closed (Sold)
C

1,712

$310,000

$181

—

outside the 6-mo window

11517 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2083037

Closed (Sold)
C

1,506

$245,000

$163

—

outside the 6-mo window

11472 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2029660

Closed (Sold)
C

1,290

$272,000

$211

—

outside the 6-mo window

11467 DEEP SPRINGS Drive
2084282

Closed (Sold)
C

1,762

$282,000

$160

—

outside the 6-mo window

6960 RAPID RIVER Drive
2071877

Closed (Sold)
C

1,781

$279,900

$157

—

outside the 6-mo window

11337 SALT POND Drive
2075919

Closed (Sold)
C

1,302

$256,000

$197

—

outside the 6-mo window

6723 SALT POND Drive
2035716

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$295,000

$186

—

outside the 6-mo window

11506 OTTERS DEN Drive
2022813

Closed (Sold)
C

1,468

$205,000

$140

—

outside the 6-mo window

11841 GULF SHORES Court
2019474

Closed (Sold)
C

2,142

$330,000

$154

—

outside the 6-mo window

11875 CROOKED RIVER Road
2002420

Closed (Sold)
C

1,794

$290,000

$162

—

outside the 6-mo window

11613 ROLLING RIVER Boulevard
2000055

Closed (Sold)
C

1,781

$310,000

$174

—

outside the 6-mo window

11812 RAINDROP Road
1250651

Closed (Sold)
C

1,583

$269,500

$170

—

outside the 6-mo window

11490 DEEP SPRINGS Drive
2043596

Closed (Sold)
C

1,764

$300,000

$170

—

outside the 6-mo window